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2016 Postmortem

grantcart

(53,061 posts)

13. Hey Cha

Reply to Cha (Reply #12)

Sun Nov 6, 2016, 04:57 AM

Nov 2016

Here is something to think about

With the enhanced Hispanic turnout I wonder if in the Southern States with large Hispanic population that we may do better in the house than people are thinking about. Maybe 20+ seats.

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15 replies

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Highlight:

The Fundamental Problem with Nate Silver's Model [View all] grantcart Nov 2016 OP

Spot on! manicraven Nov 2016 #1

Thats a great picture. grantcart Nov 2016 #4

Thank you for this concise explanation! Avalux Nov 2016 #2

Love the conclusion. I've seen a number of people say Hortensis Nov 2016 #3

HOW about early vote. How does that for in DLCWIdem Nov 2016 #6

He doesn't factor that in. And it doesn't make sense either grantcart Nov 2016 #7

Doesn't explicitly include early vote GopherGal Nov 2016 #16

So glad to see your posts again! yardwork Nov 2016 #8

Sorry, the state polls make no sense in relation to a 6 point Hillary lead Awsi Dooger Nov 2016 #9

Absolute nonsense grantcart Nov 2016 #10

His model is mostly based on state polls. BzaDem Nov 2016 #11

How Nate Silver "unskews" the polls -- and why he shouldn't. pnwmom Nov 2016 #15

Mahalo, grant! This is kind of what I was gathering from reading Cha Nov 2016 #12

Hey Cha grantcart Nov 2016 #13

Good point! And, considering Team Hillary's ground game, too Cha Nov 2016 #14