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2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Patrick Murphy now leading Rubio 49/48 [View all]jg10003
(975 posts)65. Schumer and DSCC dropped the ball when they bailed on Murphy
Huff Post: Murphy - 43%, Rubio - 48%.
The DSCC canceled $16,000,000 in advertising for Murphy.
Murphy has little name recognition, has a 4 to 1 disadvantage in TV ads, and is running against a nationally known incumbent in a very large state. If he can get within 5 points with all that against him, Imagine how he would do with $16,000,000 to spend on his campaign.
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Reliable pollster. This was expected. And, this makes for a 51-49 current prediction.
Coyotl
Nov 2016
#2
Not buying that. Not tonight. It's not over till the last vote is counted
misterhighwasted
Nov 2016
#39
So let me get this straight, you thoroughly accept all the meta poll aggregators when they say
Grey Lemercier
Nov 2016
#42
At this point in the game I'll forego it all for a positive "C'mon Florida"!!
misterhighwasted
Nov 2016
#54
I will cheer too, and hope all the entire polling industry and myself are dead wrong!
Grey Lemercier
Nov 2016
#56
Several polls have this race within 1%. And you're completely ignoring early voting numbers.
RAFisher
Nov 2016
#71
So, as you are taking Survey Monkey as gospel, then you must expect these outcomes
Grey Lemercier
Nov 2016
#47
I live here and Rubio's pretty popular.. I will be totally amazed if Murphy pulls this out!
secondwind
Nov 2016
#53