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2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: 538: "This Is How Bernie Sanders Could Win" [View all]MADem
(135,425 posts)28. The sad sub-headline says "We try to say something nice about #feelthebern’s quest for the
Democratic nomination."
We try to say something nice?
....Clinton is doing very well among base Democrats, while Sanders is an outsider.
natesilver: Yeah, people need to stop confusing the base with media and party elites that have big Twitter and Facebook followings. By any objective measure, the Democratic base still really loves Clinton.
hjenten-heynawl: But lets get back to South Carolina. Theres no party registration, so anyone can vote in the primary. It gives Sanders a shot if he can somehow pull in some of these outsider voters who might not otherwise vote in a Democratic primary.
natesilver: No way, dude. Hillary wins South Carolina even if things are going really badly for her. There was a poll that came out in Alabama the other day that had Clinton beating Sanders something like 81-10. Literally. It was like an Alabama football score against some terrible nonconference opponent.
hjenten-heynawl: 78-10. But continue.
natesilver: Its not complicated. In a state where you have a lot of white moderates and a lot of black voters, Sanders does terribly.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/this-is-how-bernie-sanders-could-win/
With friends like that, who needs enemies?
We try to say something nice?
....Clinton is doing very well among base Democrats, while Sanders is an outsider.
natesilver: Yeah, people need to stop confusing the base with media and party elites that have big Twitter and Facebook followings. By any objective measure, the Democratic base still really loves Clinton.
hjenten-heynawl: But lets get back to South Carolina. Theres no party registration, so anyone can vote in the primary. It gives Sanders a shot if he can somehow pull in some of these outsider voters who might not otherwise vote in a Democratic primary.
natesilver: No way, dude. Hillary wins South Carolina even if things are going really badly for her. There was a poll that came out in Alabama the other day that had Clinton beating Sanders something like 81-10. Literally. It was like an Alabama football score against some terrible nonconference opponent.
hjenten-heynawl: 78-10. But continue.
natesilver: Its not complicated. In a state where you have a lot of white moderates and a lot of black voters, Sanders does terribly.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/this-is-how-bernie-sanders-could-win/
With friends like that, who needs enemies?
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Sanders will get a boost when they stop including Biden WHO'S NOT RUNNING! Including non-candidate
Attorney in Texas
Aug 2015
#11
Clinton's polling numbers have fallen thru an important psychological barrier in about 6 states
HereSince1628
Aug 2015
#29
Unpossible! I had a Hillary supporter tell me several times that Bernie had stalled
LondonReign2
Aug 2015
#26
Hey you are using a broad brush, Obama won fair and square, he has been goid for the US.
Thinkingabout
Aug 2015
#12
There are Hillary supporters who are still pissed that it was TAKEN from her the last time....
Spitfire of ATJ
Aug 2015
#13