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grantcart

(53,061 posts)
18. I am not being defensive, I can't follow your point
Fri Jan 27, 2012, 03:36 AM
Jan 2012

My point is simply that there is going to be a draft Daniels movement, as I predicted.

That movement has started.

You are arguing that he can't get the nomination, something that is completely beyond the scope of this thread, I never said that he was a likely candidate to win except to say that the fact that all four present candidates are so flawed that some type of draft is going to get a strong response.

Frankly I hope that a draft campaign fails. I think the four remaining candidates are so fatally flawed that any draft candidate would be more problematic.

Regarding Intrade I don't think the volume for the Republican nominee has attracted volume enough to be a real predictive barometer yet but this article shows that yesterday Mitch was running ahead of Santorum, and my point in December was that there was going to be a draft Daniels campaign, and I think that has already been confirmed;



http://dailycaller.com/2012/01/24/prediction-market-daniels-more-likely-to-be-gop-nominee-than-santorum/


Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels has a better chance of winning the Republican nomination than Rick Santorum, at least according to the prediction market on Intrade.

The gamblers on “the world’s leading prediction market” gave Daniels a 2.5 percent chance of winning the nomination as of Tuesday night, while Santorum — a former senator from Pennsylvania and current presidential contender — had a slightly more miserable 1.2 percent chance.


Read more: http://dailycaller.com/2012/01/24/prediction-market-daniels-more-likely-to-be-gop-nominee-than-santorum/#ixzz1kdomuGWe



So we have a situation where Mitch Daniels is doing (atleast for a short time) better than the winner of the Iowa primary on intrade, which I believe confirms my prediction that there was going to be a serious effort to draft Daniels and that has now reached Fox;

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I don't understand this Samantha Jan 2012 #1
My analysis is that he knew that he would be competing for the same demographic against Romney grantcart Jan 2012 #2
Just what the country needs. Bush's Budget Director? Thrill Jan 2012 #3
I find it hard to imagine the GOP base accepting an Arab-American as a potential Republican nominee Douglas Carpenter Jan 2012 #4
that is somewhat deceptive grantcart Jan 2012 #5
Accepting 2011 Arab American Institute Award, Mitch Daniels highlights Syrian background Douglas Carpenter Jan 2012 #11
Not sure what you think your link is proving grantcart Jan 2012 #15
I'm not trying to prove anything and I definitely don't understand why you're being so defensive Douglas Carpenter Jan 2012 #17
I am not being defensive, I can't follow your point grantcart Jan 2012 #18
Now in USA today grantcart Jan 2012 #6
An Arab-American with the surname "Daniels"??? Odin2005 Jan 2012 #16
Draft Jack Daniels. denem Jan 2012 #7
but his appeal will not be with the religious right or with the tea party or social conservatives Douglas Carpenter Jan 2012 #8
Interesting comments from Kristol. Ruby the Liberal Jan 2012 #9
K&R...... cliffordu Jan 2012 #10
Intrade currently speculating a 1.8% chance of Mitch Daniels becoming the GOP nominee Douglas Carpenter Jan 2012 #12
Kristol must be buying, lol grantcart Jan 2012 #13
Well there are a few things that could hurt (or help) him. Proud Liberal Dem Jan 2012 #14
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