2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Guess Who Wins the Presidency According to School With 100% Prediction History [View all]happyslug
(14,779 posts)Furthermore, if you are in a state dominated by one party, moderates tend to join that party and moderate it on the local level. Thus further end of the political spectrum tend to join the other party. Thus most liberals (and they are SOME in Mississippi) tend to be Democrats but moderates, who in other states would be Democrats, are members of the GOP in Mississippi.
What this leads in PRIMARIES, that the "Radicals" of the left and right in such states tend to dominate the minority party in such states. Thus while most Mississippians would vote for Hillary over Sanders, most DEMOCRATIC REGISTERED Mississippians will vote for Sanders over HIllary.
Now, the down side of this argument is the Rural Counties along the Mississippi River are overwhelming African American. African Americans tends, at the present time, to support Hillary over Sanders (just like they supported Obama over Hillary in 2008). How this will work out is anyone's guess, but do NOT count Sanders out of willing the DEMOCRATIC Primary in Mississippi.