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2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: I'd like to hear from all the Hillary supporters [View all]Jarqui
(10,123 posts)9. Those numbers include a lot of leaners:
Last edited Mon Nov 23, 2015, 04:16 PM - Edit history (1)
Hillary is above 50% and Bernie is around 30%. That leaves under 20% undecided. If they all break for Bernie (not likely) then some Hillary folks would have to switch to Bernie for him to win the nomination.I think Nate Silver addresses your question in this article:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dear-media-stop-freaking-out-about-donald-trumps-polls/
"When you see an Iowa poll, you should keep in mind that the real situation looks something more like this:"
(I'll ballpark roughly covert his poll from GOP to Dem):
Undecided 80% (includes leans)
Clinton 12%
Sanders 7%
O'Malley 1%
It's a little early for "Hillary can't lose"
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If you allowed someone to call you any one of those names on this board, it is on you.
Buzz Clik
Nov 2015
#16
LOL. Several of DU's most conservative posters have been dissuaded from supporting Bernie! nt
Romulox
Nov 2015
#21
Clinton currently heads my talley sheet of policy positions and election factors by a considerable
Agnosticsherbet
Nov 2015
#6
Shhh... You are spoiling the dream of the inevitable St Hillary of Walmart. eom
Betty Karlson
Nov 2015
#35
If the GOP ad machine really got cranked up against Sanders his poll numbers would
Persondem
Nov 2015
#20