Vice chair of DNC accuses Debbie Wasserman Schultz of lying about consulting on debate schedule Rea

[CoffeeCat]

8. I'll do an OP about it...

There are scads of articles about Selzer's impeachable polling results. Both Democrats and Republicans hold their breath until she releases her Iowa poll. Because Iowa is the first state to vote, it's important. The Iowa Poll shows the campaigns exactly where they are. Selzer's methodology is based on science. She uses the registered-voter rolls and only polls likely caucus goers.

This way, her sample captures younger voters, first-time caucus goers, Independents who will cross over into the Dem/Rep camps to caucus. This is why Selzer predicted the 2008 caucus results and many other races.

If I want to know if an Iowa poll is valid, I compare it to Selzer's results. If they're far off, I know their methodology is screwed.

Bernie being behind by only 9--before the peak Iowa campaign season--is absolutely devastating to the Clinton camp. So much happens during that final push. It's crazy season, and it's when most Iowans solidify their final choice.

Here's a video of Selzer discussing her polling, as well as Bernie's path to victory (which, interestingly, is the same path to victory that Obama took).

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/videos/2015-11-13/it-s-not-over-for-bernie-sanders-in-iowa-ann-selzer