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2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Hillary Clinton And The Awful Risk Of Winning Ugly - TheWeek [View all]Babel_17
(5,400 posts)23. Leading to the follow up question; Who has ever won major office with such bad negative numbers?*
The current (December 2, 2015) Quinnipiac poll:
December 2, 2015 - Bump For Trump As Carson Fades In Republican Race, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; Clinton, Sanders Surge In Matchups With GOP Leaders
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Additional Trend Information
Eleven months before the 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump is the undisputed leader in the Republican field, as Dr. Ben Carson, in a virtual tie with Trump four weeks ago, drops to third place, according to a Quinnipiac University National poll released today.
On the Democratic side, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton widens her lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont to 60 - 30 percent, compared to 53 - 35 percent in a November 4 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll. Former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley has 2 percent, with 6 percent undecided.
Trump gets 27 percent of Republican voters today, with 17 percent for Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, 16 percent each for Carson and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas and 5 percent for former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush. No other candidate tops 3 percent, with 8 percent undecided.
Last month, Trump had 24 percent, with 23 percent for Carson.
Among Republicans, 26 percent of voters say they "would definitely not support" Trump, with 21 percent who would not back Bush.
"It doesn't seem to matter what he says or who he offends, whether the facts are contested or the 'political correctness' is challenged, Donald Trump seems to be wearing Kevlar," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
"Dr. Ben Carson, moving to center stage just one month ago, now needs some CPR. The Doctor sinks. The Donald soars. The GOP, 11 months from the election, has to be thinking, 'This could be the guy.'
"Secretary Hillary Clinton and Sen. Bernie Sanders have to be hoping Trump is the GOP's guy."
American voters shift to Clinton as the Democrat gains ground against Republicans:
47 - 41 percent over Trump, compared to 46 - 43 percent November 4;
Clinton at 45 percent to Rubio's 44 percent, compared to a 46 - 41 percent Rubio lead last month;
Clinton tops Cruz 47 - 42 percent, compared to Cruz at 46 percent to Clinton's 43 percent last month;
Clinton at 46 percent to Carson's 43 percent compared to Carson's 50 - 40 percent lead last month.
Sanders does just as well, or even better, against top Republicans:
Topping Trump 49 - 41 percent;
Getting 44 percent to Rubio's 43 percent;
Beating Cruz 49 - 39 percent;
Leading Carson 47 - 41 percent.
Clinton has a negative 44 - 51 percent favorability rating. Other favorability ratings are:
Negative 35 - 57 percent for Trump;
40 - 33 percent for Carson;
44 - 31 percent for Sanders;
37 - 28 percent for Rubio;
33 - 33 percent for Cruz.
American voters say 60 - 36 percent that Clinton is not honest and trustworthy. Trump is not honest and trustworthy, voters say 59 - 35 percent. Sanders gets the best honesty grades among top candidates, 59 - 28 percent, with Carson at 53 - 34 percent, Rubio at 49 - 33 percent and Cruz at 43 - 39 percent.
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2307
More people polled as seeing Clinton as being "not honest and trustworthy" than did so for Trump.
Trump, and the Republicans, have spent diddly so far on reinforcing that message. I'd prefer taking my chances on them trying to convince Democrats to stay home, and Independents to vote for their lunatic platform, because the Democrats were running a wild eyed Socialist, rather than taking my chances on millions of people coming out and voting for someone they saw as "not honest and trustworthy".
*Seriously, when will a journalist do the research and present the list? I'd like to see the names of those winners.
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Exactly. If you're going to win and convinced about it, why not graciousness, why not more debates?
highprincipleswork
Dec 2015
#1
She has seen this movie before.....and she wants a different ending this time
virtualobserver
Dec 2015
#14
A perfect demonstration of disproving your premise that Clinton is ahead 30 points
Proserpina
Dec 2015
#8
Bullshit. If the staffer was only documenting it, why did he erase his notes?
SunSeeker
Dec 2015
#25
People making 125k a year in salary pay a much higher percentage in taxes than the rich.
SunSeeker
Dec 2015
#66
Yes, you are attacking middle class working professionals, who already pay the highest tax rate.
SunSeeker
Dec 2015
#71
Leading to the follow up question; Who has ever won major office with such bad negative numbers?*
Babel_17
Dec 2015
#23
According to some people here Bernie's donor list is fair game for Hillary.
Spitfire of ATJ
Dec 2015
#28
Lmfao at the title alone. Coronation. She's losing. She has to win all, and big to be legit. Don't
seabeyond
Dec 2015
#53