Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: Our candidates need to explain how their agenda can be implemented without the Senate. [View all]Amimnoch
(4,558 posts)Any of our candidates can lose it as well.
In this early part of the season, and riding his most recent announcement, Biden most definitely has the most steam, and highest polling without argument.
Beto is doing exactly what he said he'd do. He's travelling the country and holding multiple rallies every single day to listen to what Americans from all over the map hold most important. Until he starts going on TV again, he'll remain low in the polls. I've seen him work this in Texas where he was virtually unknown while he travelled all 254 Texas counties.. he developed his narrative on what he heard from the people themselves. Then he kicked his campaign into high gear and became a national sensation almost ousting an incumbent Republican.
This presidential election cycle will be like all others.. the vast majority of states are already known outcomes.. California/New York/Illinois etc.. WILL be blue. Most of the heartland states, and southern states WILL be red. The battlegrounds are going to be Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Ohio, and Florida as the most prominent "in play".
A Biden ticket neither takes away or adds to the possibilities. Beto does. Moreover, Beto puts into play the ONLY state that, alone, could completely flip the election results. Biden must take at least 2 or 3 of those battleground states to hit that 270 mark.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided