Democratic Primaries

qazplm135

(7,447 posts)

4. I think the valid suggestion here is

Tue May 28, 2019, 01:38 PM

May 2019

that it is POSSIBLE that right now Biden's support is not deep and strong. He certainly is legitimately in the lead. Why? I suspect it's a combination of a belief that he can win PA (he clearly would) WI and MI (probable but not as certain) plus the Hillary states (electability), and a nostalgia for the Obama Era.

However, could he easily dissolve that support with a strong gaffe or poor debate performances? Absolutely he could. I have no idea if he will or not, but he does not engender the kind of dedicated following that some of the other candidates do. So, he is IMO more susceptible to a crisis/issue derailing him than some of the other candidates.

Now, if he makes it out unscathed, he's pretty much going to be the nominee.
Whether he does or does not (and who emerges to take his place if he does) are IMO going to be the only real, major story(s) of the primary.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

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Joe Biden is the front-runner by every measure -- except big crowds [View all] brooklynite May 2019 OP

It isn't just smaller events FBaggins May 2019 #1

Almost guarantee that it is zipplewrath May 2019 #2

His support DownriverDem May 2019 #13

Well if big crowds and rallies Butterflylady May 2019 #3

I think the valid suggestion here is qazplm135 May 2019 #4

I disagree that MI and WI are more difficult to win than PA. StevieM May 2019 #5

I think it remains to be seen qazplm135 May 2019 #6

He's in the lead DownriverDem May 2019 #14

ummmm qazplm135 May 2019 #19

Well said, Butterflylady! Cha May 2019 #7

i think it was mostly the same people attending all the Sanders rallies JI7 May 2019 #15

Sometimes the most dedicated voters do not going the "crowd." They don't need an "event" sarabelle May 2019 #8

when I see Politico I run screaming in the opposite direction EveHammond13 May 2019 #9

...which says nothing about the merits of the article. brooklynite May 2019 #10

And compels one to wonder who in fact, is arguing... LanternWaste May 2019 #16

Nobody... brooklynite May 2019 #17

Volunteers do go to rallies and town halls, though Indygram May 2019 #11

Big crowds,mean little at thus point... beachbum bob May 2019 #12

Many people don't go to rallies because of the logistics of them - have to get there very early.... George II May 2019 #18

Perhaps it's due to more familiarity with Biden? susanr516 May 2019 #20