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Democratic Primaries

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Tiggeroshii

(11,088 posts)
Wed Feb 5, 2020, 03:34 AM Feb 2020

Who do you think will win Iowa? [View all]

Deeply apologetic for another one of these. Thing is, since the results aren't really coming out, I'm entrusting DU's crystal ball to tell me.

If I understood this right, this is how 538's projection will change of overall pledged delegates based on the outcomes of Iowa: Split verdict changes Bernie's chances of winning the most pledged delegates to 48%, his winning changes it to 64%, and Pete winning puts Bernie's chances at 36%.


https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/buttigieg-and-or-sanders-are-going-to-win-iowa-what-happens-next/


8 votes, 0 passes | Time left: Unlimited
Bernie Wins outright
5 (63%)
Buttigieg Wins outright
2 (25%)
Split Verdict between Bernie and Buttieg between popular vote and state delegates.
1 (13%)
Something else (Please state).
0 (0%)
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Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
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