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Democratic Primaries

(32,705 posts)

4. 538 is parroting the betting markets almost identically. Other polling firms are not

Wed Feb 5, 2020, 09:14 PM

Feb 2020

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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24 replies

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538 seems bullish on Bernie's chances for Super Tuesday and other early voting states. [View all] HerbChestnut Feb 2020 OP

How can this be? Doesn't 538 know Joe is leading in all the polls? bluewater Feb 2020 #1

Starting to think Biden might not even win SC at this point. Tiggeroshii Feb 2020 #2

. Hassin Bin Sober Feb 2020 #9

I like it CentralMass Feb 2020 #3

. Hassin Bin Sober Feb 2020 #12

538 is not a polling firm Tiggeroshii Feb 2020 #5

"538 is parroting the betting markets almost identically." bluewater Feb 2020 #6

538 was wrong re: Bernie will win IA pfeiffer Feb 2020 #13

Has anyone actually won Iowa yet? bluewater Feb 2020 #14

Actually they were accurate. Voltaire2 Feb 2020 #23

2 days ago no one had him close to winning a Southern state Bumperstickers Feb 2020 #10

There's no way Sanders wins Wisconsin. Still In Wisconsin Feb 2020 #15

Milwaukee was a Socialist town within memorable history, snot Feb 2020 #17

I grew up in Milwaukee. My dad and brother are still there. Still In Wisconsin Feb 2020 #20

Do what's the legitimate path to 270 EC votes for Bernie? OrlandoDem2 Feb 2020 #22

Fantastic. Hope so. zentrum Feb 2020 #11

Bookmarking. TexasTowelie Feb 2020 #18

538 doesn't have the best record for calling winners and losers... BlueIdaho Feb 2020 #19

I like it! jcmaine72 Feb 2020 #21

Silver said he's basing this off of Iowa performances. octoberlib Feb 2020 #24