Democratic Primaries

emmaverybo

(8,144 posts)

11. A model based on very little info that would figure in several relevant factors. A model

Thu Feb 6, 2020, 03:29 AM

Feb 2020

which outsizes Iowa’s influence on the whole shebang. Not polls even, a model. It is an Iowa-centered model. It must presume that Iowa results set off cascading events, a notion for which
we have no absolute proof. It must also ignore Sander’s lack of AA support and assume that because of Iowa that no longer matters. How would anyone know yet? Because of Iowa are CBC
members going to endorse Sanders en masse. Not so fast!

Suddenly because of Iowa Bernie has grown likable across the political spectrum, with diverse populations previously immune to his charms?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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FiveThirtyEight reports: Sanders passes Biden [View all] James48 Feb 2020 OP

Wow melman Feb 2020 #1

Not the news I'd like to hear for my candidate musicblind Feb 2020 #2

I think we should disregard all apps, needles and forecast models squirecam Feb 2020 #3

especially the pundits HubertHeaver Feb 2020 #7

... Scurrilous Feb 2020 #16

75% of voter rejected bernie so he's now the favorite lol nt msongs Feb 2020 #4

HE IS NOT THE FAVORITE trueblue2007 Feb 2020 #12

538 is to be taken with a large grain of salt HubertHeaver Feb 2020 #5

You can add the needle too at this point squirecam Feb 2020 #6

So, on the basis of a single non-representative caucus in a state with 3.5% black voters, pnwmom Feb 2020 #8

In which he fell behind by a handful of delegates. Scurrilous Feb 2020 #13

I'm not usually one to get down and boogie before the DJ arrives, but... jcmaine72 Feb 2020 #9

... ismnotwasm Feb 2020 #10

I miss smoked filled rooms. Scurrilous Feb 2020 #15

A model based on very little info that would figure in several relevant factors. A model emmaverybo Feb 2020 #11

Modern entrail divining. Scurrilous Feb 2020 #14