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Congratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
Democratic Primaries
In reply to the discussion: I would be interested in comments on the following quote: [View all]bluewater
(5,376 posts)31. Strawman deflection noted. Did you not also read the body of that post?
Seems not.
Here it is again:
The entire premise just becomes as solid as wet tissue paper.
Right now 538 has Sanders getting almost half of those delegates going into the convention.
In fact, 538 now says there that Sanders has a 50% chance of actually winning the nomination on the first ballot.
People can easily see that for themselves at 538:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
Right now 538 has Sanders getting almost half of those delegates going into the convention.
In fact, 538 now says there that Sanders has a 50% chance of actually winning the nomination on the first ballot.
People can easily see that for themselves at 538:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
My objection clearly is not hinged on countering just an equal split. I thought pointing out how unequal the split actually is projected to be made that clear.
But just to be sure, let me state clearly that the OP's logic is faulty. Just because the delegates are being split 5 ways, that in no way precludes a candidate from winning the nomination on the first ballot.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
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In the end, I believe that many Democrats will probably follow the advice given by Jane Sanders...
NurseJackie
Feb 2020
#10
Your objection hinges on an "equal split" that was not part of the original statement
Orrex
Feb 2020
#27
"The split doesn't preclude it; it simply makes it astronomically unlikely." LOL
bluewater
Feb 2020
#35
That's been the general consensus. Nevada made that less likely, but it's still possible.
Garrett78
Feb 2020
#6
If Sanders does not have 1991 delegates, it goes to 2nd ballot and so on...
Moderateguy
Feb 2020
#19