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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

Awsi Dooger

(14,565 posts)
8. Trump has dropped from 57 to 52 on Predictit over the past 4 days
Sun Mar 1, 2020, 02:44 AM
Mar 2020

Not exactly complicated. As I have mentioned, there is a direct relationship between Sanders' nomination chances and Trump's theoretical odds of being reelected. The stronger Sanders is, the stronger Trump is. But there is still "play" in the Trump market due to uncertainty. If Sanders were guaranteed the Democratic nod, Trump would soar above 60. If Biden becomes the favorite, then Trump drops slightly below 50. But it would not be a significant drop for Trump, not unless his approval rating faltered due to the virus:


https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3698/Who-will-win-the-2020-US-presidential-election

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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