Democratic Primaries

hlthe2b

(102,105 posts)

3. You are comparing PERCENTAGES of a relatively small total expressing an opinion.

Wed Apr 24, 2019, 07:36 PM

Apr 2019

A DemPrimary poster enumerated the number of unique posters (since the forum was formed) a few weeks ago and it was only around 500. Sure there may be more now, but certainly, far less than 1000 unique DUers posting there in that forum.

So, given the 500 previously enumerated previously--or hell, let's say 800, that means
336 DUers expressing undecided
88 each for Harris and Buttigieg
80 for Biden
72 for Warren
64 for Sanders

So, the difference on DU between Harris/Buttigieg and Biden is 8 votes!
between Harris/Buttigieg and Warren is 18 votes
between Harris/Buttigieg and Sanders is 24 votes
That is nothing...

See the point? These percentages are meant to add interest, but the sample sizes are so small that they are meaningless--even among DUers.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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24 replies

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Highlight:

A Question about the DU disconnect re Poll Numbers [View all] donkeypoofed Apr 2019 OP

DU doesnt reflect the general population of Democrats MineralMan Apr 2019 #1

say what? Kurt V. Apr 2019 #5

Right? Hassin Bin Sober Apr 2019 #13

Disengagement on details Ruby the Liberal Apr 2019 #2

You are comparing PERCENTAGES of a relatively small total expressing an opinion. hlthe2b Apr 2019 #3

this is a mostly centrist site, thus the top 3. Kurt V. Apr 2019 #4

... OilemFirchen Apr 2019 #8

i don't post juvenile memes like this, yet somehow I'm really jealous that you do. :) Kurt V. Apr 2019 #9

No. You do tweener text emoticons instead. OilemFirchen Apr 2019 #17

I'm hip. :) Kurt V. Apr 2019 #21

Heh. tymorial Apr 2019 #10

i try. hehe Kurt V. Apr 2019 #12

I agree Celerity Apr 2019 #18

IDK, I never pay any attention to polls, here or national polls yaesu Apr 2019 #6

DU is not representative of the electorate. hay rick Apr 2019 #7

Bernie is penalised for having a non-stop stance of throwing shade on the Democratic Party. This is Celerity Apr 2019 #22

For one thing we are counting undecideds which is by far our biggest group dsc Apr 2019 #11

D.U members are more politically active than the general populace. Uncle Joe Apr 2019 #14

DU members are far more attuned to politics NYMinute Apr 2019 #15

That's an interesting theory True Dough Apr 2019 #19

I think that's wildly unlikely. Kentonio Apr 2019 #24

After listening to Warren today I think I can answer that Indygram Apr 2019 #16

Because DU has no relationship to real world politics? brooklynite Apr 2019 #20

DU is fairly well educated, mostly middleclass with Blue_true Apr 2019 #23