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NYTWASHINGTON — The revised free-trade agreement with South Korea announced on Friday by the Obama administration has gotten acclaim from corporate leaders and Congressional Republicans.
But the pact is likely to result in little if any net job creation in the short run, according to the government’s own analysis.
Praising the deal reached by his trade negotiators, President Obama said on Monday that the accord would “boost our annual exports to South Korea by $11 billion” and “support at least 70,000 American jobs.”
The Obama administration has been careful to use the verb “support,” not “create.”
In fact, the effect of the agreement on aggregate output and employment in the United States “would likely be negligible,” according to a federal study, largely because the United States economy is so much larger than that of South Korea. Indeed, the study found, the country’s overall trade deficit with the rest of the world is likely to grow slightly as a result of the agreement.
But the deal is likely to be beneficial to particular industries, including the Detroit automakers and manufacturers of industrial and electronic equipment and high-technology products like pharmaceuticals and medical devices, according to that study.
American manufacturers of textiles and clothing could be hurt, however, as relatively high American tariffs on those products are reduced.
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http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/08/business/global/08korea.html