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papau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-04 09:02 AM
Original message
24000 jobs added in Aug - all Gov hires- plus 120000 pretend =144000 "new"
http://www.bls.gov/web/cesbd.htm

2003 Net Birth/Death Adjustment (in thousands) Supersector Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Natural Resources & Mining
-1 1 1 0 1 1 1 -1 0
Construction
13 35 28 -8 16 9 8 -7 -8
Manufacturing
-15 5 5 -29 6 3 -7 3 1
Trade, Transportation, & Utilities
-4 21 18 -19 17 17 13 17 18
Information
-3 4 0 -4 2 0 -1 3 3
Financial Activities
9 8 6 -11 8 4 14 7 13
Professional & Business Services
61 32 21 -22 31 15 18 10 9
Education & Health Services
32 6 -4 -20 14 12 26 10 7
Leisure & Hospitality
29 72 83 40 24 -29 -27 -14 15
Other Services
7 8 6 -10 5 1 0 2 4
Total
128 192 164 -83 124 33 45 30 62



2004 Net Birth/Death Adjustment (in thousands) Supersector Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Natural Resources & Mining
-4 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
Construction
-66 7 27 38 39 31 -7 16
Manufacturing
-38 4 7 3 8 7 -22 4
Trade, Transportation, & Utilities
-61 9 22 19 23 22 -15 21
Information
-5 5 2 2 3 1 -6 3
Financial Activities
-12 10 9 16 7 10 -18 8
Professional & Business Services
-95 27 31 66 26 24 -32 24
Education & Health Services
-6 15 10 37 11 -2 -10 17
Leisure & Hospitality
-24 33 37 80 71 81 30 21
Other Services
-10 5 7 9 6 7 -11 5
Total
-321 115 153 270 195 182 -91 120
Note: There is no net birth/death model adjustment for the government supersector.

http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

Employment Situation Summary
Technical information:
Household data: (202) 691-6378 USDL 04-1728
http://www.bls.gov/cps/

Establishment data: 691-6555 Transmission of material in this release
http://www.bls.gov/ces/ is embargoed until 8:30 A.M. (EDT),
Media contact: 691-5902 Friday, September 3, 2004.


THE EMPLOYMENT SITUATION: AUGUST 2004

Hurricane Charley

Hurricane Charley struck Florida during the August survey reference period. BLS made additional data collection efforts for the hurricane-affected counties to ensure that payroll survey response rates were at normal levels. Our examination of the survey data suggests that there were no discernable weather-related effects on national payroll employment as measured by the establishment survey. This was likely due to the fact that the storm hit late in the reporting period for most of our survey respondents. For the storm to have affected payroll employment, people would have had to have been off work for the entire pay period and not paid for the time missed. (In the household survey, people who miss work for weather-related events are counted as employed whether or not they are paid for the time off.)

Nonfarm payroll employment rose by 144,000 in August, and the unemployment
rate was little changed at 5.4 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the
U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Over the month, job growth occurred
in several service-providing industries.

Unemployment (Household Survey Data)

Both the number of unemployed persons, 8.0 million, and the unemployment
rate, 5.4 percent, were little changed from July to August. The jobless rate
is down from its recent high of 6.3 percent in June 2003; most of this decline
occurred in the second half of last year. In August, the unemployment rates
for the major worker groups--adult men (5.0 percent), adult women (4.7 percent),
teenagers (17.0 percent), whites (4.7 percent), blacks (10.4 percent), and
Hispanics or Latinos (6.9 percent)--showed little change over the month. The
unemployment rate for Asians was 3.6 percent in August, not seasonally adjusted.
(See tables A-1, A-2, and A-3.)

Total Employment and the Labor Force (Household Survey Data)

Total employment held at 139.7 million in August, and the employment-pop-
ulation ratio--the proportion of the population age 16 and over with jobs--
was essentially unchanged at 62.4 percent. The civilian labor force was about
unchanged over the month at 147.7 million. After rising in July, the labor
force participation rate edged down to its June level of 66.0 percent. (See
table A-1.)

Persons Not in the Labor Force (Household Survey Data)

The number of persons who were marginally attached to the labor force was
1.6 million in August, about the same as a year earlier. (Data are not sea-
sonally adjusted.) These individuals wanted and were available to work and

----------------------------------------------------------------------
| |
----------------------------------------------------------------------

- 2 -

Table A. Major indicators of labor market activity, seasonally adjusted
(Numbers in thousands)
______________________________________________________________________________
| Quarterly | |
| averages | Monthly data |
|_________________|__________________________| July-
Category | 2004 | 2004 | Aug.
|_________________|__________________________|change
| I | II | June | July | Aug. |
_________________________|________|________|________|________|________|_______
HOUSEHOLD DATA | Labor force status
|____________________________________________________
Civilian labor force.....| 146,661| 146,998| 147,279| 147,856| 147,704| -152
Employment.............| 138,388| 138,793| 139,031| 139,660| 139,681| 21
Unemployment...........| 8,273| 8,205| 8,248| 8,196| 8,022| -174
Not in labor force.......| 75,695| 75,975| 75,916| 75,565| 75,973| 408
|________|________|________|________|________|_______
| Unemployment rates
|____________________________________________________
All workers..............| 5.6| 5.6| 5.6| 5.5| 5.4| -0.1
Adult men..............| 5.1| 5.1| 5.0| 4.9| 5.0| .1
Adult women............| 5.0| 4.9| 5.0| 4.9| 4.7| -.2
Teenagers..............| 16.6| 17.0| 16.8| 17.6| 17.0| -.6
White..................| 5.0| 5.0| 5.0| 4.8| 4.7| -.1
Black or African | | | | | |
American.............| 10.1| 9.9| 10.1| 10.9| 10.4| -.5
Hispanic or Latino | | | | | |
ethnicity............| 7.4| 7.0| 6.7| 6.8| 6.9| .1
|________|________|________|________|________|_______
ESTABLISHMENT DATA | Employment
|____________________________________________________
Nonfarm employment.......| 130,367| 131,125| 131,258|p131,331|p131,475| p144
Goods-producing 1/.....| 21,719| 21,869| 21,891| p21,906| p21,942| p36
Construction.........| 6,819| 6,897| 6,911| p6,915| p6,930| p15
Manufacturing........| 14,326| 14,385| 14,393| p14,399| p14,421| p22
Service-providing 1/...| 108,648| 109,256| 109,367|p109,425|p109,533| p108
Retail trade 2/......| 14,974| 15,047| 15,055| p15,041| p15,030| p-11
Professional and | | | | | |
business services..| 16,202| 16,417| 16,457| p16,504| p16,536| p32
Education and health | | | | | |
services...........| 16,774| 16,874| 16,897| p16,913| p16,958| p45
Leisure and | | | | | |
hospitality........| 12,239| 12,324| 12,339| p12,340| p12,346| p6
Government...........| 21,540| 21,548| 21,528| p21,541| p21,565| p24
|________|________|________|________|________|_______
| Hours of work 3/
|____________________________________________________
Total private............| 33.8| 33.7| 33.6| p33.8| p33.8| p0.0
Manufacturing..........| 41.0| 40.9| 40.8| p40.9| p40.9| p.0
Overtime.............| 4.6| 4.6| 4.6| p4.6| p4.6| p.0
|________|________|________|________|________|_______
| Indexes of aggregate weekly hours (2002=100) 3/
|____________________________________________________
Total private............| 99.3| 99.8| 99.7| p100.4| p100.6| p0.2
|________|________|________|________|________|_______
| Earnings 3/
|____________________________________________________
Avg. hourly earnings, | | | | | |
total private..........| $15.52| $15.63| $15.66| p$15.72| p$15.77| p$0.05
Avg. weekly earnings, | | | | | |
total private..........| 524.58| 526.62| 526.18| p531.34| p533.03| p1.69
_________________________|________|________|________|________|________|_______

1 Includes other industries, not shown separately.
2 Quarterly averages and the over-the-month change are calculated based on
unrounded data.
3 Data relate to private production or nonsupervisory workers.
p=preliminary.

- 3 -

had looked for a job sometime in the prior 12 months. They were not counted
as unemployed, however, because they did not actively search for work in the
4 weeks preceding the survey. There were 534,000 discouraged workers in
August, also about the same as a year earlier. Discouraged workers, a subset
of the marginally attached, were not currently looking for work specifically
because they believed no jobs were available for them. The other 1.1 million
marginally attached had not searched for work for reasons such as school or
family responsibilities. (See table A-13.)

Industry Payroll Employment (Establishment Survey Data)

Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 144,000 in August to 131.5
million, seasonally adjusted. Over the year, payroll employment has risen by
1.7 million, with slightly more than half the gain (885,000) occurring from
March through May of this year. Since May, nonfarm employment has risen by
313,000, as revised. In August, there were job gains in health care and so-
cial assistance, financial activities, and professional and technical services.
(See table B-1.)

Within the service-providing sector, health care and social assistance
continued to add jobs, with an increase of 42,000 in August. Over the year,
employment in this industry has risen by 307,000. In August, employment rose in
ambulatory health care services (+11,000), which includes doctors' offices and
home health care services, and in hospitals (+8,000). Social assistance added
20,000 jobs, following no net change over the prior 3 months.

Employment in financial activities increased by 18,000 in August, more than
offsetting an employment decline in July. Rental and leasing services added
7,000 jobs over the month, and securities, commodity contracts, and investments
added 4,000. Over the year, securities employment has increased by 32,000.

Professional and technical services added 22,000 jobs over the month.
Within this industry, employment rose in computer systems design and related
services (+9,000); over the year, computer systems design has added 36,000
jobs. Employment in temporary help services was little changed in August for
the third consecutive month.

Within the information industry, employment continued to trend down in
telecommunications. Since its most recent peak in March 2001, the tele-
communications industry has lost 293,000 jobs, or 22 percent of its employ-
ment.

In the goods-producing sector, employment in manufacturing edged up (+22,000)
in August. Employment in transportation equipment rebounded (+28,000) from a
loss in the previous month, but this increase mostly reflected auto workers re-
turning to work from the larger-than-usual annual retooling shutdowns in July.
Since January, manufacturing has added 107,000 jobs, due to growth in its dur-
able goods component. Construction employment edged up in August, following 2
months of little change.

- 4 -

Weekly Hours (Establishment Survey Data)

The average workweek for production or nonsupervisory workers on private
nonfarm payrolls was unchanged in August at 33.8 hours, seasonally adjusted.
The manufacturing workweek (40.9 hours) and manufacturing overtime (4.6 hours)
also were unchanged over the month. (See table B-2.)

The index of aggregate weekly hours of production or nonsupervisory work-
ers on private nonfarm payrolls increased by 0.2 percent in August to 100.6
(2002=100). The manufacturing index rose by 0.3 percent to 95.5. (See table
B-5.)

Hourly and Weekly Earnings (Establishment Survey Data)

Average hourly earnings of production or nonsupervisory workers on private
nonfarm payrolls increased by 5 cents in August to $15.77, seasonally adjusted.
Average weekly earnings increased by 0.3 percent over the month to $533.03.
Over the year, average hourly earnings increased by 2.3 percent, and average
weekly earnings grew by 2.9 percent. (See table B-3.)

______________________________





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nadinbrzezinski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-04 09:05 AM
Response to Original message
1. these are not near replacement either, these are
very much in the negative growth columbn
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readmylips Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-04 09:13 AM
Response to Reply #1
6. yeah but CEOs pay has trippled...rewarded...
for sending American people's job to foreign countries. What a bunch of nazi unAmerican, unpatriotic traitors.

After two years being unemployed and working at 20 odd jobs, my neighbor finally got a job. A job that pays 20K less than what he was making just before retirement. He was forced to take the job or his marriage would fall apart. His wife is just about to go nuts. His job now consists of traveling, being away from home for months in different states, and doing extreme heavy lifting which he can't do due to a back injury he received at his old job. The job that fired him after 22 years.
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ElsewheresDaughter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-04 09:07 AM
Response to Original message
2. RW fundies wacko's will take this as a Biblical symbol "144,000"
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nadinbrzezinski Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-04 09:07 AM
Response to Original message
3. And even with the fluff
these are still under tder replacement values
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PROGRESSIVE1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-04 09:08 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. kick
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shanti Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-04 09:10 AM
Response to Original message
5. of course, it's all smoke and mirrors
it happens at the state level too.
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lovuian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-04 09:16 AM
Response to Original message
7. Bush can put fake numbers out but US Workers Know if
they are out of a job and if they are not getting pay raises

Bush has gotta be kidding himself here...He got what he wanted

Workers out of Work Starving for Jobs....

Now Reap what you sow Bush .....Anger
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cthrumatrix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-04 09:19 AM
Response to Reply #7
9. people will vote with thier pocketbook - bush is toast
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SquireJons Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-04 03:30 PM
Response to Reply #7
16. I'm not so sure.
I got in a discussion with my republican friend about employment Wednesday night over a couple of beers. He spent the last 6 months not working, but it was largely his choice. Towards the end of the summer, he was actually getting a little concerned about finding another decent job (computer programmer; making about $70K)

We'd get high (yeah, he's one of those repubicans) and he'd talk about what it was going to take to get companies hiring again and outsourcing. Some of the time, we would actually agree on serious issues. Well that was then.

Now he got his big pay job two weeks ago. And already he has reverted to his old self centerd views. The other night he was actually trying to talk up the virtues of hamberger flipping jobs. When I disagreed, he decided to walk home from the bar since I had driven. His car was 6 miles away.

The average american is employed. The average american is pretty self centered and ignorant. The average american doesn't even know that the replacement rate is 150K jobs a month, and wouldn't understand it if they did. Nor do they even care that the * administration is toally fudging the numbers. They will eat these numbers up and ask for seconds.

It's hard to talk to an ostritch with it's head up it's... I mean, in the sand.
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xchrom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-04 09:16 AM
Response to Original message
8. bad news = good news
it's hard to comprehend how it all gets twisted in the news -- you'd think business reports would accurately portray the figures -- but they don't.
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seasat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-04 09:41 AM
Response to Original message
10. Something out of whack in this "recovery"
If jobs are growing you'd expect an increase in the payroll numbers and an increase in the unemployment rate. An increase in the unemployment rate would indicate that there are people that have been out of the work force entering back into to it. I've never seen that tick up in unemployment coincident with an increase in payroll employment. You'd also expect significant increases in hours worked and wages to precede increases in employment. Both of those numbers have been pretty flat.
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progressivebydesign Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-04 10:57 AM
Response to Reply #10
12. Hmmm.. how many people graduated college this summer?
I wonder if the August numbers reflect the recent college graduates who realized that no suitable jobs for college graduates were available, and finally went to work at Taco Bell to keep from starving.

I am suspicious of 144k NEW jobs, when everyone appears to be out of work, according to unemployment figures. Also.. do schools not hire this time of year???

Most glaring is the fact of lower expectations for Bush. The country is STILL NOT creating jobs, when you compare to simply recoving the ones that were LOST under Bush's reign. We're just trying to catch up, and it's STILL not even coming close. Good job numbers? Yeah.. 144k would be great, if ONLY we weren't in a huge job deficit. I don't consider that job creation, I consider it a piss-poor excuse for reclaiming the lost jobs. And... it does not address the fact that the jobs are nowhere NEAR the wage and quality of those lost. Bush is being feted for doing something he SHOULD do, and is.. in fact.. lousy at that! Kerry campaign needs to address this shitty job report, because that's what it is. It's NOT good news, it's STILL proof that we lack millions of jobs.
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papau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-04 09:42 AM
Response to Original message
11. Over 1 million jobs lost under Bush since he took office,&fewer want work
First Bush month is Feb 2001 when jobs were 132492, and this month- August - is 131475, so jobs lost under Bush = 1017000. We are currently over the last 2 months adding jobs (and they tend to be in the service sector) at a rate 94,000 per month - less than is needed to bring down unemployement rate.

But the rate is down per Bush - meaning fewer folk are looking for jobs - I guess 3.5 years of the good times under Bush means fewer folk really have to work - ya - right - or at least our US Media will not question the numbers.


CEU0000000001Not Seasonally AdjustedSuper Sector: Total nonfarmIndustry: Total nonfarmNAICS Code: N/AData Type: ALL EMPLOYEES, THOUSANDS

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Annual
2000 128763 129428 130526 131525 132481 132998 131777 131785 132450 133007 133372 133308 131785
2001 130433 131098 131690 132094 132800 133179 131686 131613 131871 132072 131880 131491 131826
2002 128602 129069 129672 130257 131023 131404 129959 130044 130559 131227 131346 130933 130341
2003 128248 128660 129148 129781 130520 130830 129481 129512 130135 130924 131071 130862 129931
2004 128190 128786 129816 130978 131881 132325 131190(p) 131202(p)
p : preliminary



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Series Id: CES0000000001Seasonally AdjustedSuper Sector: Total nonfarmIndustry: Total nonfarmNAICS Code: N/AData Type: ALL EMPLOYEES, THOUSANDS

Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Annual
2000 130730 130876 131369 131677 131908 131883 132043 132015 132104 132134 132317 132441
2001 132388 132492 132507 132236 132237 132087 131972 131831 131564 131203 130871 130659
2002 130494 130404 130447 130379 130381 130406 130295 130306 130259 130342 130305 130096
2003 130190 130031 129921 129901 129873 129859 129814 129789 129856 129944 130027 130035
2004 130194 130277 130630 130954 131162 131258 131331(p) 131475(p)



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TahitiNut Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-04 11:04 AM
Response to Original message
13. Actual numbers: 1,123,000 fewer jobs in August than June
Jobs continue to lag behind workforce growth. It must be remembered that August 2003, 12 months ago, marked the low point for employment. This is why the Bushbots continue to talk about "improvements" since that point. Yet the most recent employment numbers indicate that there are only about 1.5% more people employed in August 2004 than August 2003, when an increase of 2.0% would be needed to merely stay even with workforce and population growth.

This doesn't even rise to a "gentleman's 'C'" - it's a failure.

If employment is the life's blood of the body politic, the hemorrhaging caused by this Ebola Cabal has only slowed due to clotting.
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barb162 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-04 11:05 AM
Response to Original message
14. Bush was supposed to be creating 300,000+/month
a few months after the tax cuts. I remember that promise and it has fallen short by millions since the day he said it.
(
Kerry should use this in every speech: here is what Bush said (Insert Bush estimate no. of jobs) and here is the pitiful result (insert actual number).
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freepotter Donating Member (57 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-03-04 11:25 AM
Response to Original message
15. Jobless Claims Jump (CNNMoney)
Number of people filing for unemployment benefits up sharply above Wall Street forecasts.
September 2, 2004: 8:45 AM EDT

NEW YORK (CNN/Money) - The number of people filing for jobless benefits jumped last week, the government reported Thursday, as the latest reading on the strength of the labor market came in far worse than Wall Street forecasts.
(snip)
The Labor Department reported that 362,000 people filed for initial unemployment benefits in the week ended Aug. 28, up from the reading of 343,000 the previous week. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com forecast that 340,000 filed for benefits.
(snip)
The previous two months have produced weak growth in the number of jobs being created in the economy. The data for the August report was collected before last week, though. (Last week of August) (cont).... (my bold and parentheses)
http://money.cnn.com/2004/09/02/news/economy/jobless_claims/index.htm

August unemployment figures do not include the last week of August, which was much worse than expected, so you know they'll come along and revise the figures after Shrub has had time to crow his little chicken hawk song for all of the kool-aid drinkers to believe. A look at the market, so far today, says Wall Street isn't impressed, as job creation clearly isn't keeping up with job demand. BS, GW!!!! :(
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