Rasmussen Just Released Bush 47.5 Kerry 46.8

[TomClash]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Presidential_Tracking_Poll.htm

[kstewart33]

1. Good news!

Thanks for the post.

[DemNoir]

2. Interesting

Does .7 spell doom?

[papau]

3. Seems we are back to Sept 1 results! - Bush 4 point bounch is gone!

Election 2004

Date Bush Kerry
Today 47.5 46.8
Sept 8 48.2 46.5
Sept 7 47.3 47.3
Sept 6 47.6 46.5
Sept 5 47.6 46.4
Sept 4 49.1 44.7
Sept 3 49 45
Sept 2 49 45
Sept 1 47 47

[mom cat]

16. dribble, dribble, dribble, drip, drip, drip. That ball don't bounce!

:bounce::toast::kick::toast::bounce:

[ILeft]

22. Or as they used to say in TANG: "That pilot don't fly!" eom

n/t

[dennis4868]

4. WTF?

The CBS poll that just came out has Bush ahead by 7.....

[lancdem]

5. This is a tracking poll, that isn't

I hope the Rasmussen poll is ahead of the curve, and other polls will reflcet his results soon.

[papau]

8. CBS is taken Sunday/Monday - the Holiday, Ras is Mon to Wed

I expect Kerry to look even better in Ras poll tomorrow.

[billybob537]

6. BA BYE

Bush* baby bounce!

[maxsolomon]

7. once again, who changes their minds on this monster?

most irrational bush lovers i know (i only know 2; my parents) wouldn't change their minds if they found out bush drank the blood of iraqi orphans.

WHO ARE THE UNDECIDEDS?

[Sunny_Sunshine]

9. People who don't pay special attention change their minds

As strange as it seems, there is a large group of people who don't pay any attention for the most part, these are the people who can be swayed with advertising and slime because the latest thing they heard, positive or negative is what they remember when they are asked. It is a sad state that we will get a government based on people who don't really care.

[friesianrider]

12. Please, Bush supporters...

Bush could rape their daughters on their dining room table and they'd still be clutching their hearts saying what a "moral man" he is.

[malachi]

14. Fuck the "Undecideds" It's moderate repugs like

the people in this story who are going to turn the election in Kerry's favor.

Headache lurks for Bush in Pa.

http://www.philly.com/mld/inquirer/news/local/states/pennsylvania/cities_neighborhoods/philadelphia/9613687.htm

[chromotone]

17. Moderate Republicans: "Republicans for Kerry..."

http://www.republicansforkerry04.com/

[mistertrickster]

10. That banner headline on USA Today (online) that "Bush pulls ahead

in Key States" is driving me crazy.

Bastards are engaging in self fulfilling prophecy . . .

[Fed Up]

11. How come CBS, CNN, Time, show such different figures?

I don't get how these polls are done.

Nobody called me yet.

[friesianrider]

13. No kidding

Has anyone here ever been called by these "polls"? I know no one who has...and another interesting tidbit...

I think Michael Moore said it - when they do these phone polls, they only go by registered voters who have voted consistently for the last few years (which inherently tends to lean Republican). The amount of new registration is HUUUUGE this year and the majority of it is due to anti-Bushism. I'd bet there's at least a 2-5% swing that should be added to Kerry's numbers.

[TomClash]

15. They overestimate Repubs too

according to Zogby

[sonicx]

18. some other polls are wrongly weighted. nt

[Snivi Yllom]

19. WAPO poll just came out Bush 52%, Kerry 43%, Nader 2%.

not good, but plenty of time for a turn around

[coreystone]

20. We are not asking the right questions pertinent to methodology....

in these polls! Reading from the Rasmussen Reports, please observe the following quote from the third paragraph: "Our data is collected via nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis." NOW! Does it seem to make sense that the individuals WITHOUT telephones might not be in the upper crust of society, does it seem to make sense that some people who will be voting not necessarily have telephones?? Then, it does seem obvious for this particular pollster, that it is not clear WHO ANSWERED the phone. More than likely, there are many other confounding variables in their polling methodology as well.

I would really love to see these polls examined by political scientists and expose ALL of them; in attempt to test their reliability. All of them, Time, Gallop; you name it. It is about time that there was more investigation regarding all aspects of the scientific procedures in designing and conducting these polls.

All they seem to scientifically indicate is a "+ or -" this number or that for variance factors; there is not any information which would be able to indicate any "scientific reliability" as would be required by those in the "Political Scientific" community.

[coreystone]

21. Is there anyone on DU who would wish to question.....

the scientific validity of ANY of these polls which are fed to us, courtesy of the "liberal media". Hello! The ABC poll on another thread included; these polls should be under much more scrutiny, as they truly affect the electorate in the decions they make at the polls, as well as NOT going to the polling stations to RECORD their votes.