where 1 in 15, and 1 in 13 respectively were killed or wounded.
From the mouths of babes -- aired
March 24, 2003 - 16:00 ET, CNN's Sneider and Woodroof discuss the current casualty rate and project what those numbers would be if they reach Vietnam rates.
http://www.cnn.com/TRANSCRIPTS/0303/24/ip.00.htmlSCHNEIDER (voice-over): Consider U.S. wars over the past century. In World War I, the casualty rate was 1 in 15, that is 1 out of every 15 soldiers assigned to that war was either killed or wounded. World War II, exactly the same. One in 15 who served was killed or wounded. In the Korean War, the casualty rate was 1 in 13 American soldiers. In Vietnam, the figure was back up to 1 in 15. That is a remarkably steady casualty rate for very different wars fought in very different circumstances. The Persian Gulf war broke the pattern. In that war, the casualty rate was 1 in 1,500. Only 760 soldiers were killed or wounded out of more than 1 million who served in the Gulf.
What do Americans expect now in Iraq? Our polling shows they anticipate somewhere between 100 and 300 U.S. troops killed or wounded. That would be the same casualty rate as the Persian Gulf War, about 1 in 1,500. Is that an unreasonable expectation? After all, the U.S. is fighting another war on the same terrain against the same enemy as 12 years ago. An enemy that is weaker after 12 years of sanctions and a U.S. military with even greater technological prowess. But the Iraqi regime is fighting for its survival in the Iraqi homeland over territory much larger than Kuwait. Suppose the war in Iraq turns out to involve the kind of tough protracted ground movement the U.S. faced in two world wars, Korea and Vietnam, with the casualty rate comparable to those wars. How many casualties would be expected? The answer, about 17,000.
SCHNEIDER: Seventeen thousand is a number that almost no American expects. And in our polling, most Americans would not accept -- Judy.
WOODRUFF: Very grim to think about, Bill.
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My comment: ...back to you Judy.