Fed Experts Predicted 'Solid' Growth Ahead
Forecast Inspired Interest-Rate Policy
By Nell Henderson
Washington Post Staff Writer
Friday, September 24, 2004; Page E03
The Federal Reserve's staff predicted in August that the U.S. economy would grow at a "solid" pace through next year, in part because interest rates would remain relatively low during that time.
The staff's encouraging forecast -- the most recent publicly available snapshot of the Fed's thinking about the durability of the recovery -- was among the reasons central bank policymakers decided unanimously at their Aug. 10 meeting to raise their key short-term interest rate, according to minutes of the meeting released yesterday.
Fed officials nudged the benchmark federal funds rate up to 1.5 percent from 1.25 percent at the August meeting. They moved it up again Tuesday, at their subsequent meeting, to 1.75 percent, and indicated that they will probably raise it again before the end of the year to prevent inflation from rising.
The Fed releases the minutes of each policymaking meeting about six weeks after it is held, usually a day or two after the following meeting. So an account of this week's meeting will not be available until November....
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A45888-2004Sep23.html