"Dems will lose no House seats; Republicans looking for new message" - mydd

[greeneyedboy]

http://www.mydd.com/story/2006/10/24/64120/757

Dems will lose no House seats; Republicans looking for new message
by Jerome Armstrong

I was looking through recent House rankings, and it's become obvious that the Democrats will not lose a single congressional seat-- not even an open seat (when was the last time that happened?). Chuck Todd ranked Dems Melissa Bean at #40 and Leonard Boswell at #42, but considering polls show them up by 18% and 20% this week, that ranking is being awful generous to Republicans.

As Larry Craig would say, "The new numbers are just devastating" for Republicans, just look at the recent Cook PDF (10/19-22):

RV's R I D MLV LV
Republicans 37 86 30 3 35 34
Democrats 49 8 49 92 57 56
Unlike recent elections, Democrats have a stronger base turnout-projection two weeks out; Independents, which broke nearly 50-50 in the three previous elections this decade have been in the Democrats camp since last summer; and most different, Republican voters are not entuhusiastic and Democratic voters by far the most likely voters.

It's not over though, because a lot of low-info voters are going to tune in very soon, with November arriving. Republicans are in a hole, and they realize it-- especially concerning Iraq. The Republicans thought they'd framed the election as "stay the course" vs "cut and run", and instead, Democrats have made the debate about "stay the course" vs "change of direction". . . .

http://www.mydd.com/story/2006/10/24/64120/757