
Oct. 16, 2011 (LEAP/E2020) -- Public announcement GEAB N°58 -- As anticipated by LEAP/E2020, the second half of 2011 is seeing the world continuing its unstoppable descent into global geopolitical dislocation characterized by the convergence of monetary, financial, economic, social, political and strategic crises.
After 2010 and early 2011 which has seen the myth of a recovery and exit from the crisis shattered, it's now uncertainty that dominates the States’ decision-making processes just like businesses and individuals, inevitably generating increasing apprehension for the future. The context singularly lends itself: social explosions, political paralysis and/or instability, return to the global recession, fear over banks, currency war, the disappearance of more than 10 trillion USD in ghost-assets in three months, widespread lasting and rising unemployment....
Besides, it’s this very unhealthy financial environment that will cause the "decimation (1) of Western banks" in the first half of 2012: with their profitability in freefall, balance sheets in disarray, with the disappearance of trillions of USD assets, with states increasingly pushing for strict regulation of their activities (2), even placing them under public supervision and increasingly hostile public opinion, now the scaffold has been erected and at least 10 percent of Western banks (3) will have to pass that way in the coming quarters.
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First half of 2012: Decimation of Western banksIn fact, it will be a triple decimation (5) culminating in the disappearance of 10 percent to 20 percent of Western banks over the next year:
-- A decimation of their staff.
-- A decimation of their profits.
-- And lastly, a decimation of the number of banks.
It will be accompanied, of course, by a drastic reduction in their role and importance in the global economy and directly affect banking institutions in other regions of the world and other financial operators (insurers, pension funds....
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