Rasmussen-- Kerry 47%--Bush 44% and I Feel Good

[louis c]

I don't know about you, but I feel very good about these numbers (regardless of Harris'). Every news outlet touts those phony jobs numbers, but the general public isn't buying. My theory is that you can convince most of the voters of a lie they can't verify, but you can't convince them of a lie that they know is false because they're living it.

John Kerry has yet to pick a V.P., and his campaign has yet to put out surrogates with a cohesive message. He has been overshadowed by events like Memorial Day, the WWII Memorial dedication, the commemoration of D-Day, the G-8 summit in Georgia, and the Reagan non-stop, one week long funeral. Yet Kerry is not only holding his own, but is leading in most national polls, and very close in must win states for Bush like Florida (46%-46%), Ohio and Missouri (down two). If Bush doesn't win all three of these states, he's cooked. And let me tell you, Bush can't debate face to face this year. It won't be like 2000. He can't lie about the unknown, this time he has a record to defend that he doesn't understand. He will look like a fool. You can mark these words.

[bluestateguy]

1. We survived the Reagan bounce!!!!

I couldn't feel any hostility right now to Ronnie if I tried!

[are_we_united_yet]

2. My motto

"Lose one in spite of the Gipper"

[ShaneGR]

3. Here's my take.....

The week after the first debate Kerry will lead 60-40.

[NewJeffCT]

15. Don't get cocky!

Gore was known as a great debater after whipping Kemp & Perot previously... but, only came out even against Bush. Bush & his media surrogates set the bar so low for Bush that as long as he didn't drool over himself and start maniacally chanting "Red Rum" over and over, he would come out ahead.

[narcjen]

4. I like these numbers more

June 17-20, 2004

ABC News/Washington Post
Bush 45--Kerry 53----Kerry +8

LA Times
Bush 44--Kerry 51----Kerry +7

Gallup
Bush 44--Kerry 50-----Kerry +6

=============================

Let's not get too cocky though. There is much work to be done. Elections are won by actual votes, not poll numbers. So make sure everyone votes!

Frankly, I think anything above 1% for Boosh is too high.:D

[louis c]

5. So do I.

[lancdem]

6. What polls have Kerry tied with Bush in Florida

and down 2 in Missouri? Please share!

[louis c]

8. Rasmussenreports.com

Great site, and it's free. Remember, he's right leaning, so the numbers look even better. As a matter of fact, Missouri is only a one point Bush lead.

[I_like_chicken]

7. This is great news

Once the election seasons really gets going, and people start to pay attention, I think Kerry's numbers will rise even more. I don't think any news can come out that will be good enough to help Bush. I don't even think another terror attack will help Bush, it will only prove John Kerry's point that Bush has not made us safer. And F911 is coming out Friday, I'll be that will sway a few people.

[iconoclastic cat]

9. And I knew that I would, now.

So good.

[AlCzervik]

10. Here is some other good news from rasmussen

thats a very good sign.

Election 2004 Congressional Ballot
Republican 36%
Democrat 45%
Other 4%
Not Sure 16%
RasmussenReports.com

[mzmolly]

11. Where's Nader in these numbers?

When I find that out, I may *feel good*

[Beloved Citizen]

12. Rasmussen doesn't track Nader

The poll feels The Fly will not be a factor come November.

[mzmolly]

13. I think he will unfortunately.

:(

[louis c]

14. Other has 4%

He doesn't mention Nader by name. The response is voluntary by the respondent. Today, that number is 4%, so you can assume that to be the Nader number. Most experts believe the voters to vote down the Nader choice by one half to one third on election day.