quit worrying about that Gallup poll

[ButterflyBlood]

first of all, it's just one poll. All the other polls have shown Kerry with a good bounce and ahead. plus it sometimes takes a little while for the bounce to set in.

but besides that, a non-partisan polling expert I know once said this of Gallup: They have a good methodology, but it's designed to predict the results when it's very close to the election. therefore, lots of fluky results can happen. I believe that in 2000 they predicted a dead heat at the end which was correct, but at one point before had * with a 13 point lead. I also once remember a poll with *'s approval ratings at 59% while all other polling agencies showed it in the low 50's and dropping.

wait for some other polls to come out.

[diplomats]

1. I agree

The fact Kerry is ahead by 3 among registered voters but down by 4 among likely voters should raise some red flags. Ruy Teixeira says polls of likely voters this far in advance of an election are questionable.