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There are a lot of abortions that involve straightforward medical necessities. Our bodies are remarkable things but tubal pregancies and terribly fetal misdevelopment and many other tragic things do take place.
And you are somewhat right that almost all the rest have to do with the condition we live in. But that's a very complicated thing to address- a huge variety of social factors from the individual/personal (immaturity) to the macroscopic (poverty, rape, religion).
The huge amount of complication derives from the transitional world we live in. From agrarian or older assumptions about life that don't apply, from parents who can't possibly know what to teach their children about selecting mates, from the pathologies of traditional male power becoming precarious, from people unable to get partners that are any good at all, from cultural and class ideas about reproduction, from the economic instability of life, from plain residual ignorance and immaturity about contraception.
We're not going to solve all these anytime soon. Sociologically, high rates of abortion or unmanageably large numbers of births/huge families are what takes place in the transition out of the lifeways of the agrarian world into those of the industrial world. An awful lot of the U.S. is still in that transition. That's that 16-child family in Arkansas (anybody ever see a sow suckling piglets?) and such out in the rural Red States still, the high first and second generation Latino birthrate, etc.
The transition from the industrial world lifeways to those of the postindustrial world, on the other hand, tend to be marked by high use of contraception and less-than-replacement reproduction. Northern Europe is largely in population contraction, the Russian parts particularly, as is a fair amount of southern Europe now and Japan also. (White American numbers are close to stagnant and decline is predictable.) The large masses of blue collar workers once needed for manufacturing are superfluous now, the need for them in agriculture vanished decades ago.
So you are right that abortion as a public issue and macroscopic phenomenon is a symptom. But the problem runs deeper than your solutions. The people who want abortion banned essentially want the tidy (but oppressive and poor) rural/agrarian or closed urban ethnic ghetto world and social order back. The people who see abortion rights as an indispensible necessity are those who are trying to survive the chaotic and brutal mess and narrowness of Industrial Age life, sure that something better lies beyond it and absolutely rejecting the retrogressives' "solution"- and sure abortion is one form of the ugly price that has to be paid for progress away from the perceived or known horror of that Past (along with stuff like divorce, drugs, corporate miniondom, etc). On the post-industrial end the issue seems merely an individual hard luck or individual bad choice kind of problem, a personal and private matter, not a crucial or macroscopically important distinction between two ways of life.
We're essentially going to do what people have usually done: wait it all out, let one side to the argument die away as obsolete and the other side vanish as a force as the situation or problem itself diminishes.
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