(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Sep-13-04 04:33 PM
Original message |
| 5 PM EDT MON SEP 13 2004 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN DISCUSSION NUMBER 1 |
|
Edited on Mon Sep-13-04 04:37 PM by DanSpillane
New Hurricane, or just tropical depression? Looks like same starting are last three took, rougly--
TNT41 KNHC 132109
TCDAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON SEP 13 2004
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM THE LESSER ANTILLES ALONG WITH SATELLITE
IMAGES SHOW A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH SUFFICIENTLY ORGANIZED DEEP
CONVECTION TO WARRANT THE INITIATION OF ADVISORIES. THERE IS
PRONOUNCED UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE OVER THE SYSTEM...WHICH SHOULD
LEAD TO INTENSIFICATION OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE. GRADUAL
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...HOWEVER AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN THE
PATH OF THE DEPRESSION COULD INHIBIT INTENSIFICATION SOMEWHAT.
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING AT AN ESTIMATED 290/10. A
MID-TROPOSPHERIC HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BETWEEN THE DEPRESSION AND
HURRICANE IVAN IS FORECAST BY MOST NUMERICAL GUIDANCE TO PERSIST
WITH AN ASSOCIATED NE-SW ORIENTED RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHWEST NORTH
ATLANTIC. THIS SCENARIO COULD CAUSE A MORE WESTWARD MOTION TO
DEVELOP LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK
IS SIMILAR TO THE DYNAMICAL MODEL CONSENSUS.
FORECASTER PASCH/STEWART
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 13/2100Z 16.0N 60.4W 25 KT
12HR VT 14/0600Z 16.7N 62.1W 30 KT
24HR VT 14/1800Z 17.5N 64.2W 35 KT
36HR VT 15/0600Z 18.4N 66.1W 45 KT
48HR VT 15/1800Z 19.4N 68.0W 55 KT
72HR VT 16/1800Z 21.4N 71.3W 60 KT
96HR VT 17/1800Z 23.0N 73.0W 60 KT
120HR VT 18/1800Z 24.0N 74.5W 60 KT
|
| teach1st
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Sep-13-04 04:35 PM
Response to Original message |
| 1. Herbert Boxes and Lushine Line |
|
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Sep-13-04 04:38 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
| 2. Egad, this one is in that box too! |
| teach1st
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Sep-13-04 04:39 PM
Response to Original message |
|
Edited on Mon Sep-13-04 04:41 PM by teach1st
 &MOSAIC_SCALE=15  |
|
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Sep-13-04 04:43 PM
Response to Reply #3 |
| 4. You can kinda see it there--that is, both of them <eom> |
| teach1st
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Sep-13-04 04:51 PM
Response to Reply #4 |
| 5. Not to mention the possibilities coming off of Africa |
|
Some of the new kids look sheared already, but some don't.
|
|
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Mon Sep-13-04 04:54 PM
Response to Reply #5 |
| 6. Yeah, I noticed those possibilities too |
|
Time to up the importance of discussions about global warming, no?
You saw my web site, right?
www.libertywhistle.us
|
| Wilber_Stool
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Tue Sep-14-04 11:40 AM
Response to Reply #3 |
DU
AdBot (1000+ posts)     |
Thu Feb 19th 2026, 04:30 PM
Response to Original message |
Printer-friendly format
Email this thread to a friend
Bookmark this thread
