9/15 07:00 AST TS Jeanne Approaching Hurricane Strength 70 SE San Juan

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AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
ESTIMATED FROM SAN JUAN RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE
65.4 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES... 115 KM... SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN
PUERTO RICO.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF JEANNE WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER
PUERTO RICO LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY OVER
ELEVATED TERRAIN. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS...AND JEANNE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE PASSING OVER
PUERTO RICO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES ... 65 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.

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http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1+shtml/151143.shtml?

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1. 9/15 11:00 AST Ivan 45 SSE San Juan Max Sustained 70, Pressure 991 Mb

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AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.8 WEST OR ABOUT
45 MILES... 75 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. THIS
IS ALSO ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM WEST OF ST. CROIX.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF JEANNE OVER PUERTO RICO
LATER TODAY AND NEAR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRONGER WINDS...POSSIBLY SUSTAINED AT HURRICANE FORCE...ARE
LIKELY OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND JEANNE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE
BEFORE REACHING PUERTO RICO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER. THERE WAS AN UNOFFICIAL REPORT FROM ST.
CROIX OF A WIND GUST OF 96 MPH AT AN ELEVATION OF 300 FEET DURING
THE PAST FEW HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.

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2. 9/15 17:00 AST Jeanne 25 W San Juan - Likely To Become Hurricane Tonight

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AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.5 WEST OR OVER
PUERTO RICO ABOUT 25 MILES... 40 KM...WEST OF SAN JUAN.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH
...15 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE FORECAST MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OFF
THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF PUERTO RICO TONIGHT...AND NEAR THE
NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE ONCE THE CENTER OF JEANNE
REACHES THE ALTANTIC...AND IT COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER
TONIGHT OR THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. SAN JUAN RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST
OF 71 MPH...114 KM/HR.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.

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3. 9/16 8:00 AST Jeanne Now Hurricane - Over Eastern Tip Dominican Republic

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DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE AND DOPPLER RADAR FROM PUERTO RICO
INDICATE THAT JEANNE HAS BECOME A HURRICANE. AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH
...LONGITUDE 68.4 WEST...OVER THE EASTERN TIP OF HISPANIOLA OR CABO
ENGANO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS JEANNE HUGS THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC. CABO ENGANO RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 56
MPH...91 KM/HR.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA NEAR THE CENTER
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65
KM FROM THE CENTER.

AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT RECENTLY MEASURED A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.

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4. 9/16 11:00 AST Jeanne 80 ENE Santo Doimingo Max Winds 80, Pressure 986

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AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.7 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...
130 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

JEANNE IS MOVING JUST NORTH OF DUE WEST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/HR. A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF JEANNE IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN NEAR OR JUST INLAND OF THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. JEAN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS AS A RESULT OF ITS ENCOUNTER WITH HISPANIOLA...BUT
SHOULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH ON FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 70 MILES...110 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.

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5. 9/16 14:00 AST Jeanne 65 ENE Santo Domingo - Will Weaken, Then Regroup PM

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AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.0 WEST OR INLAND ABOUT 65
MILES... 105 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.

JEANNE IS MOVING JUST NORTH OF DUE WEST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/HR. A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF JEANNE IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN NEAR OR JUST INLAND OF THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. JEAN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY
AS A RESULT OF ITS ENCOUNTER WITH HISPANIOLA...BUT SHOULD REGAIN
HURRICANE STRENGTH ON FRIDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 70 MILES...110 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.20 INCHES.

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6. 9/16 23:00 AST Jeanne 65 NNE Santo Domingo Sustained 70 Pressure 990 Mb

Regained hurricane status by morning; track moving steadily south - now on target for coastal Georgia.

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AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 69.7 WEST OR ABOUT 65
MILES... 100 KM... NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH
... 9 KM/HR...AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE NEAR OR ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF HISPANIOLA
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY...AND BE NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
LATER ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH GUSTS TO
HURRICANE FORCE. JEAN HAS THE POTENTIAL TO REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH
AFTER IT MOVES OFF THE ISLAND OF HISPANIOLA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

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7. 9/17 8;00 AST Jeanne 115 S Grand Turk Max Sustained 65 992 Mb

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AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
JEANNE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.9
WEST. THIS POSITION IS ON THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC NEAR PUERTA PLAT ABOUT 115 MILES...190 KM...SOUTH OF GRAND
TURK.

JEANNE HAS BEEN MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND A
MOSTLY NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...IN SMALL AREA
TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE THE CYCLONE INTERACTS WITH HISPANIOLA
BUT JEANNE COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STATUS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.

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8. 9/17 23:00 AST Jeanne 105 SW Grand Turk, Reconstituting, Max Sustained 45

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AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 72.2 WEST. THIS
POSITION IS JUST NORTH OF HISPANIOLA AND ABOUT OR ABOUT 105
MILES... 165 KM... SOUTHWEST OF GRAND TURK ISLAND.

JEANNE APPEARED TO BE STATIONARY BUT IS BEGINNING TO MOVE TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES
... 30 KM FROM THE CENTER.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY MEASURED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

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