First, the polls have been trending slightly downward for Democrats, but still with a good margin, so nothing that happened this week impacted that trend:
ABC/Washington Post LV
..................................R.............D
11/1-4/06...................45.............51
10/19-22/06................41.............54
10/5-8/06................... 41.............54
Pew LV
11/1-4/06...................43.............47
10/17-22/06................38.............49
9/21 - 10/4/06.............38.............51
Newsweek LV
11/2-3/06...................38.............54
10/26-27/06...............39.............53
10/19-20/06...............37.............55
Time LV
11/1-3/06...................40.............55
10/3-4/06...................39.............54
8/22-24/06...................40.............51
USA Today/Gallup LV
10/20-22/06.................41.............54
10/6-8/06....................36.............59
http://www.pollingreport.com/2006.htmKerry's joke had no discernible impact:
Raised serious doubts:
19% All
36% Repub.
5% Dem.
18% Ind.
These are voters who would be voting Republican anyway.
CBS News/New York Times Poll. Oct. 27-31, 2006. N=598 likely voters nationwide. MoE ± 4 (for all likely voters).
"If the 2006 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?"
ALL likely voters 34% Republican
52% Democrat
Republicans84% Republicans
6% Democrats
Democrats3% Republicans
90% Democrats
Independents 23% Republicans
50% Democrats
http://www.pollingreport.com/2006a.htm