Nevada Predictions: Clinton 40%, Obama 34% Edwards 26%

[Colobo]

What say you?

[polichick]

1. It ain't over til it's over. :)

[thunder rising]

2. Well let's see where the chips fall Saturday.

[LulaMay]

3. YES YES YES......I hope so! She is Brilliant.

[angie_love]

4. Whos prediction is that? yours?

Just curious

[Colobo]

6. Yeah. Mine. What's yours?

[angie_love]

8. Obama 41% Clinton 39% Edwards 20%

[Unsane]

5. Clinton 42% Obama 39% Edwards 19%

[fascisthunter]

7. Anyone: Does NV use Electronic Voting (Diebold, ES&S, etc.)?

How do they vote?

[Avalux]

10. Nevada is caucuses.

:hi:

[fascisthunter]

16. interesting

[jefferson_dem]

9. Obama 39, Hillary 36, Edwards 25

:hi:

[Colobo]

12. I hope you're right, man!

[jefferson_dem]

20. Some teams I will never bet against.

Like this one --

[rwheeler31]

11. Same old crap, money over honesty.

[THUNDER HANDS]

13. I said I wasn't going to do predictions, but...

Obama 34
Clinton 33
Edwards 32

[book_worm]

14. After NH I've given up political punditry. The voters will speak.

[Thrill]

15. Clinton 60% Obama 20% Edwards 20%

No one can stop her now!!

[Colobo]

17. LOL!

[More Than A Feeling]

18. Edwards 37, Clinton 33, Obama 30.

A lot of the workers of the unions that endorsed Obama will actually have not wanted that endorsement in the first place, and will defect to Edwards, and that will be the margin of victory. Plus, I'd like to be among the minority on record predicting this victory when it happens, since nobody else is predicting the Edwards comeback.

[rwheeler31]

22. If the good guys loose this one we are toast.

[More Than A Feeling]

25. You are forgetting the brokered convention scenario.

Nonetheless, this is indeed the last chance to grab some of that momentum that Edwards wanted in Iowa.

[IndianaJones]

19. O 37, C 35, E 28. nt.

[Skip Intro]

21. I say Hillary 39, Obama 33.

[calteacherguy]

29. Sounds about right, unfortunately. nt

[ruggerson]

23. You're lowballing Katz

I think Obama takes Nevada by a sizable margin.

[Colobo]

24. Maybe we are both lowballing... :)

[ruggerson]

28. maybe we are

:)

[loveangelc]

26. Clinton 80% Edwards 13% Obama 2%

anything over that is a moral victory for obama.

[calteacherguy]

27. I fear you are right, Katz.

We need to get real, and have hope for South Carolina. Clinton is a nearly prohibitive favorite in Nevada. There is no way Obama can get anywhere near 40%. Sorry, just not in the cards. Wish it were, but it's not.

[Colobo]

37. It could happen given how caucuses work, but I don't think so.

Still, a solid second will be good enough.

[dempartisan23]

30. just a wild guess

i will say clinton 45 obama 35

[calteacherguy]

31. That's probably in the ballpark. I'm hoping for an Obama win in SC. nt

[dempartisan23]

42. from what i hear

obama should win rather easy in south carolina

[AGirl]

32. Kucinich 51 % Clinton 20 Obama 18% Edwards 10 %

[Perky]

33. Either you are lowering expectationss or you have gone over to the darkside.

[Unsane]

36. Or he/she could just be objectively assessing the landscape.

I'm an Obama guy and I think it'll be Clinton 42% Obama 39% Edwards 19%, FWIW

[Colobo]

39. In between lowballing and objectivity.

I have a feeling we will win, but objectivity tells me Hillary should prevail.

[FrenchieCat]

34. Clinton 33, Obama 33, Edwards 33, kuch 1

:rofl:

[Drunken Irishman]

35. Obama: 41, Clinton: 35, Edwards: 24.

[Perky]

40. I think that is about right

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

38. I smell an upset. Some polled Edwards support may go to Clinton.

But there's no way Hillary wins SC unless Edwards drops out.

[Maximus Invictus]

41. Skulls and Bones - The "Oracle" has spoken

:sarcasm:

Margaret Thatcher 666% :evilgrin:


Ronald Reagan 334% :banghead:

Luke Skywalker -1000% :wtf:



System Error cod. 1087466363Def :argh: Reboot... Waiting... System Recovery... :silly:


Go Go SkyWalker! May The Force Be With You! :yourock:


From Europe With Love...

[cloudythescribbler]

43. Apparently, many voters in NV (and not just on the strip) are mad about the disenfranchisement suit

[mckeown1128]

44. I think so too but I am wondering...

did you read that somewhere because I would love a link... but if not it is ok.:)

[cloudythescribbler]

46. Here are two sources, one anecdotal from DU

The Wall St Journal:

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120053210112396131.html?mod=opinion_main_commentaries

<snip>

However, the lawsuit has created an uproar among voters. It was the No. 1 issue among 30 Nevada Democrats participating in a Fox News focus group on Tuesday night; the anger among rank-and-file voters was palpable. The left-wing Nation magazine has denounced the suit as an attempt to "suppress the vote."

<snip>

AND DU:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=389x2710588

Clinton's punishment
by berni_mccoy

(can any Las Vegas DUers confirm this?)
I have a friend who works in Las Vegas and the word on the street is that this law suit by the Teacher's Union has seriously damaged Clinton's standing with the workers there. They don't view the law suit being initiated by the union as much as Clinton's campaign. After all the Teacher's Union does not endorse candidates, but top officials of the union are staunch Clinton supporters. This connection is quite obvious to everyone there. Even if it isn't that way, as the Clinton supporters here would persistently argue, that isn't how it is being perceived in Vegas. Given that, people who were open to voting for Clinton are definitely not now. I think this could be a disastrous move for her campaign, even if the law suit wasn't officially part of it.

[Yukari Yakumo]

45. C - 38, O - 37, E - 23

This will be the end of the Edwards campaign. He won't throw in the towel until after Super Tuesday, but a 3rd place in Nevada (and dismal prospects in SC) will end any argument that he's a contender.