NDambi
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:09 AM
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| M-I-S-S-I-S-S-I-P-P-I What 's your prediction for tonight |
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Edited on Tue Mar-11-08 08:10 AM by NDambi
I say he beats her by 20%!
What say you?
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harun
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:10 AM
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| 1. I am with you on > 20% (n/t) |
caseycoon
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:17 AM
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| 9. I just hope he does really well. |
Vinca
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:11 AM
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zanne
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:17 AM
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| 7. I agree with at least 20%. nt |
TexasLady
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:13 AM
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| 3. Im going to be conservative(no not THAT kind) |
NDambi
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:15 AM
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NDambi
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:14 AM
Response to Original message |
| 4. I'm hoping for more..but 20% would be a pretty good mud stomping..and.. |
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its amazing after all the hype and cmampaigning--Super Tuesday II made no difference for the Hillster...she shant and can't catch up..
I like it!
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olkaz
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:16 AM
Response to Original message |
| 6. I have no basis for this conclusion |
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But I think that this one will be closer than expected, with Obama winning, and the press spinning it in Hillary's favor.
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NDambi
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:21 AM
Response to Reply #6 |
| 12. Hey you're entitled to your opinion. None of us really know for sure I hope its at least 20 but |
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Edited on Tue Mar-11-08 08:22 AM by NDambi
I'll take it by 5% or less too... a win is a win is a win!
But there is no doubt in my mind that he WINS! Spin or no.
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Lucinda
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Tue Mar-11-08 11:52 AM
Response to Reply #6 |
bluestateguy
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:17 AM
Response to Original message |
| 8. All I will say is this |
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The polls in states with high percentages of black voters are persistently underpredicted Obama's election night performance. Alabama, South Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, Georgia and Louisiana.
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Buzz Clik
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:18 AM
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| 10. Between 15 and 20%. I also predict Clinton minimizes this, and does the press. |
K Gardner
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:23 AM
Response to Reply #10 |
| 13. Oh, that's already started. I actually heard yesterday that Clinton is |
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expected to lose, but if she closes the gap it will be considered a victory for her.
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Kaylee
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Tue Mar-11-08 10:11 AM
Response to Reply #13 |
| 39. Oh, but his closing the gap in Ohio and TX is momentum for her? |
NDambi
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Tue Mar-11-08 10:57 AM
Response to Reply #13 |
| 44. Amazing her closing the gap on him is considered a victory, but him it is not..lol gotta love the BS |
Labors of Hercules
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Tue Mar-11-08 04:00 PM
Response to Reply #44 |
| 62. especially when he closes 20 points in TEXAS, and actually wins it. |
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according to the rules of the primary/caucus there. I hate the press too.
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babylonsister
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:26 AM
Response to Reply #10 |
| 17. MSNBC just claimed Clinton wins if he doesn't win by over 15%- |
skipos
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:35 AM
Response to Reply #17 |
| 23. Has MSM ever claimed Obama "wins" a state if he loses by less than 15%? |
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Not that I have heard. They want this to be a horse race so bad and it isn't. What % does Clinton have to win the remaining states by now? 25%?
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Buzz Clik
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Tue Mar-11-08 09:06 AM
Response to Reply #23 |
| 32. Texas is a case in point -- he closes from 17% to 4%, and it's a BIG Clinton victory. |
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And, oh, by the way, she lost out on the delegate count in Texas.
whatever.
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NDambi
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:36 AM
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TheWebHead
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:19 AM
Response to Original message |
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try to lower expectations, especially w/ the limbaugh factor, since much of this primary has been about expectations, not necessarily who wins and by how much.
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NDambi
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:23 AM
Response to Reply #11 |
| 14. I agree a win is a win..I'll take it by 50% or 5%!!! |
sfam
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:30 AM
Response to Reply #11 |
| 19. I'll raise you + or - 2%.... |
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I'm actually going to go with 17% but I really doubt it gets higher than that, and wouldn't be surprised if it was as low as 13%
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rucky
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:24 AM
Response to Original message |
| 15. 60% Latte drinkers in Mississip. n/t |
TexasLady
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:33 AM
Response to Reply #15 |
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I love christopher walken. he's a sexy beast. :P
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NDambi
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:34 AM
Response to Reply #21 |
| 22. He's a great actor too! Quirky, Good. Offbeat. Definitely terrific! |
hogwyld
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Tue Mar-11-08 03:58 PM
Response to Reply #21 |
| 60. And he can really bang those cowbells! |
kennetha
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:26 AM
Response to Original message |
| 16. Clinton pulls off a stunning upset! |
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She wins the states delegates outright 18-15 and barely squeaks by with in the popular vote 50.5 - 49.5 as AA turn-out is unexpectedly low and Limbaugh inspired whites turn-out in unexpectedly large numbers with the devious intent of merely keeping the democratic race going and going.
Hillary claims that Obamamotion has come to a complete stop. Obama whines about foul play! The media is all Clinton all the time for the next few week until Pennsylvania.
Mark it down! You heard it here first!
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NDambi
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:29 AM
Response to Reply #16 |
| 18. Okay. Thank you and I appreciate the heads up! |
Barack_America
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:41 AM
Response to Reply #16 |
| 27. I think we've seen her "stunningly upset" enough, thank you. |
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The Bipolar Express is getting a little scary now.
;)
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hogwyld
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Tue Mar-11-08 04:00 PM
Response to Reply #27 |
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You owe me a new keyboard!
:spray: :rofl: :wow:
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nxylas
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Tue Mar-11-08 10:32 AM
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You can't disappoint a pessimist, so I shall hope for the best, but expect the worst.
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Dhalgren
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:31 AM
Response to Original message |
| 20. My prediction is that a corporatist candidate will win. |
NDambi
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:35 AM
Response to Reply #20 |
| 24. Okay. Thank you for your contribution to the thread. Much appreciated. |
Dhalgren
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Tue Mar-11-08 09:02 AM
Response to Reply #24 |
| 31. Hey, always willing to give a kick! |
Dawgs
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:40 AM
Response to Original message |
| 26. A blowout!! Obama will get at least 63%. |
Bake
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Tue Mar-11-08 11:05 AM
Response to Reply #26 |
| 45. I hope you're wrong, and I suspect you are wrong. |
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And I plan to be around to remind you of it tonight.
I voted this morning, and the Dem turnout in my largely white upper-middle class precinct was surprising (I thought I was just about the only Dem in the subdivision). I glanced at that sign in sheet and saw a lot of female names on the Dem roster.
But of course that's only one precinct.
Bake
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Dawgs
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Tue Mar-11-08 02:59 PM
Response to Reply #45 |
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But, of course I will be here to remind you if I'm right.
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Bake
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Wed Mar-12-08 10:28 AM
Response to Reply #52 |
| 64. Congrats! You were right. |
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It was a big win for Obama.
Bake
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Scurrilous
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:41 AM
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| 28. I reckon we'll see a lot of Rezko threads tonight. |
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Roughly one per each percentage point Obama is ahead.
Rezko...it smells like victory! :thumbsup:
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TexasLady
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:46 AM
Response to Reply #28 |
Crooked Moon
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Tue Mar-11-08 08:53 AM
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Buzz Clik
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Tue Mar-11-08 09:41 AM
Response to Reply #30 |
| 33. That's possible but unlikely. |
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The polling numbers are indicating a far greater gap: http://www.pollster.com/08-MS-Dem-Pres-Primary.php
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Bullet1987
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Tue Mar-11-08 09:44 AM
Response to Reply #33 |
| 34. I say he beats her by at least 10% |
thevoiceofreason
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Tue Mar-11-08 10:05 AM
Response to Original message |
| 35. 53.6 - 45.2 for Obama |
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Rednecks out in force.
Delegate splits: Dist 1: 3/2 Clinton Dist 2: 5/2 Obama Dist 3: 3/2 Obama Dist 4: 3/2 Clinton
At large: 6/5 Obama
Net net: 18-15 Obama
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XemaSab
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Tue Mar-11-08 10:08 AM
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undeterred
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Tue Mar-11-08 10:09 AM
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SoonerPride
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Tue Mar-11-08 10:10 AM
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| 38. Clinton will say it's another state that doesn't count |
thevoiceofreason
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Tue Mar-11-08 10:21 AM
Response to Reply #38 |
| 40. Or claim her 7 delegate loss was really a victory |
MadBadger
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Tue Mar-11-08 10:23 AM
Response to Original message |
| 41. Obama wins with 60-65 percent of the vote |
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If he wins only 25% of the white vote, its a 60-40 split. If he wins 35% of the white vote, its a 65-35 split.
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Alter Ego
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Tue Mar-11-08 10:33 AM
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Tesha
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Tue Mar-11-08 11:49 AM
Response to Original message |
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Obama wins 90% of the A-A vote.
He wins 50% of the remaining Democratic vote.
He wins 75% of the Democratic-leaning Independents.
Hillary wins 95% of the Republican crossover vote.
Now, does that last portion overwhelm the rest? This year, with McCain already confirmed, it might!
Tesha
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high density
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Tue Mar-11-08 11:51 AM
Response to Original message |
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Edited on Tue Mar-11-08 11:52 AM by high density
Passes 2025 and takes Clinton into negative pledged delegate territory at the same time.
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AtomicKitten
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Tue Mar-11-08 11:52 AM
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| 49. A righteous ass-kicking in a state Clinton will then say doesn't matter. |
InAbLuEsTaTe
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Tue Mar-11-08 11:55 AM
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| 50. Obama wins, but Hillary claims victory. |
HiFructosePronSyrup
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Tue Mar-11-08 11:57 AM
Response to Original message |
| 51. Mississippi doesn't count by 22 pts. |
skipos
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Tue Mar-11-08 03:03 PM
Response to Original message |
| 53. I'll be surprised if he does it by 20%. I think it will be closer to 15% |
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and MSM will call it a tremendous victory for her.
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bicentennial_baby
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Tue Mar-11-08 03:05 PM
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| 54. I predict that she won't congratulate him |
Az_lefty
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Tue Mar-11-08 03:16 PM
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| 55. Obama by 20% and Clinton disses the state again. |
jenmito
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Tue Mar-11-08 03:26 PM
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| 56. Turnout is lighter than usual. A college student just said a lot of students are on Spring Break |
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Edited on Tue Mar-11-08 03:28 PM by jenmito
now. I'm afraid the low turnout will favor Hillary. I hope Obama wins in a landslide!
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tandem5
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Tue Mar-11-08 03:50 PM
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| 57. I say 18%, but with the obscene gerrymandering he'll net only one delegate... |
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perhaps this will serve as an eye-opener to those who have argued in favor of the many warped delegate allocation systems, such as the one in Texas where Clinton won the popular vote by more than 100k, but will probably lose in the delegate count.
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Zachstar
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Tue Mar-11-08 03:52 PM
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| 58. I say around 20 percent as well after viewing some aspects of today's voting. |
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Let us hope for a BIG Obama win!
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walldude
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Tue Mar-11-08 03:54 PM
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| 59. Prediction for tonight? |
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Lots of complaining on DU...
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book_worm
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Tue Mar-11-08 03:58 PM
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