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usregimechange
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Thu Apr-03-08 10:39 PM Original message |
Oregon county level projections based on census demographics |
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FightingIrish
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Thu Apr-03-08 10:46 PM Response to Original message |
1. Color Jackson County Obama |
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usregimechange
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Thu Apr-03-08 10:50 PM Response to Reply #1 |
2. Maybe so but the county has a higher concentration of elderly and uneducated than the state ave |
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roguevalley
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Fri Apr-04-08 09:40 PM Response to Reply #2 |
54. my county, Jackson, will go Obama. What interests me is Malheur |
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sandnsea
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Thu Apr-03-08 10:52 PM Response to Reply #1 |
3. And Lane and Benton |
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usregimechange
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Thu Apr-03-08 10:59 PM Response to Reply #3 |
4. For sure Benton, Linn will likely go for him as well but I couldn't project |
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here_is_to_hope
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:01 PM Response to Reply #3 |
5. Coos Too! n/t |
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sandnsea
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:06 PM Response to Reply #5 |
8. I thought they may go Hillary |
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here_is_to_hope
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Fri Apr-04-08 09:01 AM Response to Reply #8 |
45. SWOCC... |
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Oregone
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:42 PM Response to Reply #1 |
23. In a place where the "Women in White" outnumbered the "Women in black" 10 to 1...I don't think so. |
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quakerboy
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:03 PM Response to Original message |
6. I am dubious of your |
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woolldog
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:04 PM Response to Reply #6 |
7. I agree. |
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usregimechange
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:07 PM Response to Reply #6 |
9. like I said, Obama may win all of OR, the projections give an indication of where each candidate is |
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woolldog
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:08 PM Response to Reply #9 |
10. what are the light blue counties? |
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usregimechange
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:09 PM Response to Reply #10 |
11. Counties that have demographics that do not significantly favor either candidate |
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woolldog
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:19 PM Response to Reply #11 |
14. I'd like to see you predict ALL counties in a state. |
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usregimechange
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:23 PM Response to Reply #14 |
16. Damn strait, it would also be prophetic. |
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woolldog
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:26 PM Response to Reply #16 |
18. you wouldn't have to get them all right. just attempt to call them. |
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usregimechange
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:30 PM Response to Reply #18 |
19. hummm, I may do just that... |
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woolldog
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:32 PM Response to Reply #19 |
20. you can have some of the locals, like sandnsea, help you. |
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quakerboy
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:42 PM Response to Reply #19 |
24. it couldnt hurt. |
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usregimechange
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:51 PM Response to Reply #24 |
27. I may need to avoid a protest. |
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usregimechange
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Fri Apr-04-08 02:00 AM Response to Reply #24 |
37. I simply can't project more than what I already did based on demographcs |
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thinking man
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:15 PM Response to Reply #9 |
12. Lane County |
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usregimechange
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:21 PM Response to Reply #12 |
15. Eugene will go Obama I am sure of it but I decided to predict counties not cities and... |
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Oregone
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:50 PM Response to Reply #15 |
26. East of Springfield (Marcola) and west of Veneta there will be few Obama voters |
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usregimechange
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:25 PM Response to Reply #12 |
17. Lane is only .4% above the state average in terms of education. |
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featherman
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Fri Apr-04-08 12:14 AM Response to Reply #12 |
33. I find it impossible to believe that Lane will not be strong Obama |
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Oregone
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:59 PM Response to Reply #9 |
29. He definately will not win all... |
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quakerboy
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Fri Apr-04-08 12:31 AM Response to Reply #29 |
35. That is true |
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me b zola
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Sat Apr-05-08 03:00 AM Response to Reply #35 |
56. All of that is true |
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usregimechange
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:18 PM Response to Reply #6 |
13. Remember too, OR is a mail in state, energy in a caucus means everything but in a mail in primary... |
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quakerboy
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:40 PM Response to Reply #13 |
21. I understand. |
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Oregone
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:40 PM Response to Original message |
22. Everything East of Cascades goes Clinton. Shell also have Polk barring hispanic switching to Obama |
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featherman
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Fri Apr-04-08 12:23 AM Response to Reply #22 |
34. Sorry... I live here. There is not much enthusiasm for Clinton |
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Arugula Latte
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Fri Apr-04-08 07:24 PM Response to Reply #34 |
51. It's interesting. I'm in Portland, and almost everyone I know is for Obama. |
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usregimechange
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Sat Apr-05-08 12:31 AM Response to Reply #51 |
55. Interesting, GOTV! |
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XemaSab
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Fri Apr-04-08 02:04 AM Response to Reply #22 |
38. Up in Washington Obama won EVERY county |
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usregimechange
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Fri Apr-04-08 02:06 AM Response to Reply #38 |
39. If he wins in the counties I projected for Clinton, he will win the entire state and he may |
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Oregone
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:46 PM Response to Original message |
25. I predict Obama will carry Lane by at least 10 points. |
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woolldog
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Thu Apr-03-08 11:53 PM Response to Reply #25 |
28. when do Oregonians start mailing in their ballots? |
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Oregone
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Fri Apr-04-08 12:04 AM Response to Reply #28 |
30. Most don't |
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woolldog
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Fri Apr-04-08 12:11 AM Response to Reply #30 |
32. what? |
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quakerboy
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Fri Apr-04-08 12:33 AM Response to Reply #30 |
36. Ha |
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XemaSab
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Fri Apr-04-08 02:10 AM Response to Reply #30 |
40. Hey, the oldest shit in North America is from Oregon |
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grantcart
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Fri Apr-04-08 12:09 AM Response to Original message |
31. I would be surprised if he doesn't take Marion County |
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XemaSab
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Fri Apr-04-08 02:16 AM Response to Reply #31 |
41. Between Idaho and Washington Obama won 82 out of 83 counties. |
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usregimechange
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Fri Apr-04-08 07:42 AM Response to Original message |
42. Next time I am including a disclaimer saying that projection based on demos do not allow me to... |
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Alter Ego
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Fri Apr-04-08 07:49 AM Response to Original message |
43. Shit, if it's possible to win the state with so few counties |
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usregimechange
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Fri Apr-04-08 07:10 PM Response to Reply #43 |
47. Just about! |
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davidpdx
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Fri Apr-04-08 08:08 AM Response to Original message |
44. Interesting |
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Ysabel
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Fri Apr-04-08 09:58 AM Response to Original message |
46. thanks again interesting yes i like these threads k and r (n/t)... |
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hogwyld
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Fri Apr-04-08 07:20 PM Response to Original message |
48. Obama's going to win Yamhill Co. |
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usregimechange
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Fri Apr-04-08 09:10 PM Response to Reply #48 |
53. Yamhill has fewer educated people than the state average but I will take your word |
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BumRushDaShow
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Fri Apr-04-08 07:22 PM Response to Original message |
49. K&R! |
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HiFructosePronSyrup
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Fri Apr-04-08 07:22 PM Response to Original message |
50. Lane will go for Obama. |
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usregimechange
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Fri Apr-04-08 08:11 PM Response to Reply #50 |
52. That would be friggin deluctable! |
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