New Poll: Tennessee Bush 48% Kerry 46% plus Washington/Pennsylvania

[WI_DEM]

It is looking like Kerry/Edwards has a chance to snatch Tennessee where the polls continue to be close. Bush has a statitstically insignificant lead of 48-46 over Kerry.

In Washington state, Kerry leads Bush by 8-points 51-43 and in the Senate race Patty Murray leads Nethercutt 51-40.

In Pennsylvania, Kerry has a big lead in this "battleground" state of 53-41 percent.

The senate race could be a "sleeper" for the dems with Specter ahead 49-34 over Hoffel, but under 50%.

http://www.surveyusa.com/

[Bucky]

1. Polls mean nothing until after Bush's bump

I'm staying cynical until November. I think I work better under such circumstances.

[Frodo]

3. "Survey USA" polls may

That's a right-leaning firm.

It may not be possible for Bush to "bounce" into competition for PA based on these numbers.

[Zynx]

5. Incumbents typically don't get much of a bump.

[Bucky]

10. Fighting quiz: You're taking the fight to the enemy. Which do you do 1st?

Q1: Do you hit 'em where they're weakest or where they're strongest?

A: Both, and in that order.

Q2: Do you assume that they are incompetent and are going to make mistakes and not grab smartly at any unexpected advantages?

A: Duh. You overloaded that question, Bucky.

Q3: OK, sorry. Real question is, can Bush get a bounce out of New York?

A: Yes. They've got no place to go but up and no room to maneuver but to the center. As we saw in 2000, that's exactly what they know how to do. As we see from the jaw-dropping 45+ approval ratings this total fuck up is getting, they are quite politically adept when they want to be. And a national gathering of all leading Republicans will contain a collection of brains that is smart enough to move toward seizing the initiative. Like it or not, this election is still the incumbent's to lose. I think he will lose it, but I'm not going to count on that just yet.

[Liberal Veteran]

2. Hopefully we will be rid of that worthless fuck, Nethercutt.

I dislike that lying bastard intensenly. Almost as much as I dislike the idiots who replaced a good Speaker of the House with freshman.

[montanacowboy]

6. Don't worry LiberalVeteran

Nethercutt is toast - Washington State is on the road to a total Dem victory - Kerry and Patty!!
The Dems had better get someone running on the ballot for Governor - that Rossi is a real throw back

[Johnyawl]

9. We have two excellent candidates running for Governor

Christine Gregoire, and Ron Sims. I like Ron Sims, but he has little chance of beating Gregoire in the September primary.

Gregoire will beat Rossi easily.

It's going to be pretty much a Democratic sweep in Washington state.

[Bucky]

4. They also show us up in Nevada, Michigan

[Name removed]

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[featherman]

8. it's looking more and more that Kerry will likely

hold all the Gore states and recapture NH and WV for a total of 269 EV's, at least a tie. Actual tie would be bad news with a GOP Congress. Kerry's winning edge MUST come from taking one more Bush 2000 state. In order of probability:
FL, NV, MO, OH, AZ, TN, AR, CO, VA, NC.
(This is all presuming adequate funding, hard work, getting out the DEM vote everywhere, etc)
We got work ahead of us, folks.

[NewYorkerfromMass]

11. Well, it looks like Nevada is the one with Kerry at 49%!

Nader allowing.

[redstateblues]

12. Don't Count On TN- It's Possible-But Not Probable

[yellowcanine]

13. I believe Fla and OH will both drop for Kerry early election night - when

that happens, I pop the cap on my first tall cool one of the evening. After that, I open a new one for every red state which goes blue this time and one when Kerry goes over the top. If it is a landslide for Kerry I may have to send the wife out for more beer.

[DaveinMD]

14. I really think

Arizona could be a sleeper. Nevada is very much a possibility, as is OH, MO and Florida.