Libertarian analyzes polls - Kerry way ahead of Bush by 9%

[RebelYell]

http://www.libertyforum.org/showflat.php?Cat=&Board=news_politics&Number=292859289#Post292859289

"I believe most of those polls are inaccurate. I believe they are over-rating Bush's real numbers by as much as 3%. And under-estimating Kerry's numbers in many." 08/14/04 @ 06:35AM

[rpannier]

1. Very Interesting...

Thanks. Gives people a lot to think about. People who think and care.

[RebelYell]

2. I think he's correct

Who would watch a Super Bowl when the score is 60-40 with 10 minutes to go? I think the polls are skewed in Bush's favor to keep up interest in the election and getting more people to vote.

[iconoclastic cat]

6. I think you are right on!

That analysis would pass the Occam's Razor test. That leaves us with another question: which action is more irresponsible, skewing numbers for political gain, or skewing numbers for profit?

[NewYorkerfromMass]

3. Isn't libertyforum.org the breakaway site from Free Republic?

anyway, I hope that guy is right!

Actually I just checked, it's http://www.libertypost.org/ (Free Republic Jr.)

[RebelYell]

7. Liberty forum is completely free speech

unless you threaten someone with bodily harm or you threaten to sue someone. You can talk freely without the threat of banishment.

[leftyandproud]

10. what a concept!

those libertarians sure are extremists eh? ;)

[molly]

4. Was it George Will?

I heard someone say yesterday - cleaning the kitchen with the TV on - that any time a presidential incumbent has been within a few percentage points of the challenger, the challenger has won.

[goju]

5. Not even paying attention

The poll numbers mean squat right now. Mid October I will start paying attention. Right now, I will leave the poll watching to the campaign. They are probably looking at specific demographics or issues, not overall support.

[Jawja]

8. Thank you

for the link and the information.

Very interesting analysis, indeed. Looks like Big Media is deliberately pushing Ralph Nader as a factor in the race, even though he won't be on election day?

[Yavin4]

9. He Does Make One Great Point

Nader's support is vastly overrated, seeing as how he's not going to be on most ballots.