Electoralvote.com projects 287 electoral votes, 58 senate seats and 237 house seats!

[Politics_Guy25]

As of right now,

That's what http://www.electoral-vote.com/ is projecting for the dembe the brocrats in November! This will be the most sweeping mandate that any party has won in a presidential election year since 1964, even surpassing 1980.

Presumptive Nominee Senator Obama and our congressional democrats stand on the cusp of a historic landslide.

Also, Mark Halperin at Time tells us that his sources tell him that senior GOP officials believe that they only have a 30% chance realistically of winning the White House! Awesome.

[rufus dog]

1. I think the senate number is 60

Or maybe 61. The message will be to correct the last 8 years. With the number of Repub seats being defended I think another few will flow our way.

[FogerRox]

4. I think the upside is 60+ in the senate. Anything less and we will regret it

[MGKrebs]

5. You mostly need that to override vetos, and with a Dem Prez...

that shouldn't be necessary.
Granted, Senators can still filibuster, but that becomes harder to do when so much popular support is against you.

[Eric J in MN]

6. 67 votes to override a veto; 60 votes to end a filibuster. NT

NT

[StevieM]

26. That's a little optimistic--here is what I see:

pickups in NH, CO, NM and VA. We have those four.

We may pick up MN, AK (Palin as McCain's running mate could hurt though), NC and OR.

Kentucky and Mississippi would be very lucky wins.

Steve

[FogerRox]

2. The 1962 midterms were not like '06, In '62 we already had good majorities

In 1930 we almost won enough House seats (50+) to get the majority, to the 31 seats in '06, While in the Senate- '30 we gained a few, in '06 we won 5.

[Major Hogwash]

11. After the Vietnam war, the Republicans lost 100 seats in the House.

The Republicans will lose up to 60 seats in the House this year alone.
But, they will continue to lose more seats in 2010, as the few remaining neocon stalwarts try to hang on to their seats.

[FogerRox]

28. Major good advice. I think the upside is huge, 60% of the vote, coat tails

[MadBadger]

3. Whatever we get in the senate, minus one

Lieberman is gone after this year.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

7. I'm worried about the Senate. We need a filibuster-proof Senate, at least 60 votes! n/t

[Name removed]

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[Name removed]

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[Liberal_Stalwart71]

15. Hope you're right. I'm hoping that TN will, too due to the governor's help, who is very popular. n/t

[PylesMalfunction]

20. From your mouth to God's ear!

I get so sick of people in this state constantly voting against their best interests. :mad:

[ShadowLiberal]

13. With 58ish votes we'd need only a few more to get that, plus look at history

You're forgetting that there's more moderate, or endangered who want to look moderate, republicans who could vote with democrats on issues (though some moderate democrats could flip on certain issues to).

If you need like 3 votes just find a republican senator who doesn't feel as strongly about the issue and can be swayed to vote a different way.

Also take a look back at history, when Medicaid (or Medicare, I forget which) was passed. It was right after a landslide election in the democrats favor, but the democrats had a net gain of just 1 senate seat that election. Because of the landslide in the presidential race however, 15 senators who had previously voted against the program changed their votes from the election result.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

16. Good point. You're right. I would still feel more comfortable with 60 seats.

Remember it only takes 1 Senator to block legislation through debate. A filibuster-proof majority would invoke cloture and force legislation onto the floor for debate...

[Major Hogwash]

10. Really? Bookmarked this prediction.

I think we will have more Democrats in the Senate, though. I think we will get to 60.

[OzarkDem]

12. Dembe the brocrats?

[Politics_Guy25]

14. ROFL!-I have NO idea how I managed to type that

I'm sorry. LOL. Worst typo for me ever. Democrats I meant:)

[all.of.me]

18. I thought it was great! :) nt

[OzarkDem]

22. Oh, ok

For a minute I thought it was a new catchphrase of the bros before hos "subculture".

[ruggerson]

23. Whatever you meant by it

it's very Lewis Carroll :)

[Cal Carpenter]

19. I was wondering the same thing

:crazy:

[MarjorieG]

17. No over-confidence please. Voting machines, purging, Jeremiah Wright. Need to work this!

[Name removed]

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[Occam Bandage]

24. Dembe the Brocrats!

[Hippo_Tron]

25. Whether or not we get 60 Senate seats comes down to the Dole/Hagan race in North Carolina

At least that's the way it looks right now granted anything could change in November.

But as of now I think we pick up seats in New Mexico, New Hampshire, Virginia, Colorado, maybe Minnesota, and hold Louisiana. Mississippi, Alaska, and Oregon are our next best opportunities. In Maine I think it's too early to tell what will happen but I think Collins is just too popular to lose even though the GOP brand is severely damaged. Chafee was in a similar situation in '06 but he wasn't as popular as Collins and Rhode Island is blue by about 20 points whereas Maine is blue by 8-10 points. Which leaves us with North Carolina where a decisive Obama victory could carry Hagan in on his coattails.

If McCain implodes and we're looking at an Obama landslide then I think we can talk about possibly Scott Kleeb winning in Nebraska, Lunsford knocking off McConnell in Nebraska, and Noriega taking down Cornyn in Texas. Truth be told, early polling indicates that Noriega could run a hell of a race against Cornyn if he had the money. But Texas is an expensive state and Cornyn will probably win by 15 points because the DSCC won't target the race and Noriega just won't be able to get his message out.

There's also game changers to watch for, as there has been in each of the past five cycles. Al D'amato's calling Schumer a Putzhead in 1998, Mel Carnahan's death in 2000, Toricelli's scandal and dropping out of the race in 2002, Paul Wellstone's death in 2002, Bunning's signs of dementia in 2004, and Allen's "Macaca moment" in 2006.

[bhikkhu]

27. ElectoralVote generally sucks, as it relies on small-sample polling

(and so tends to swing widely back and forth, depending upon what's in the current mix)

but then again - Holy Crap! That's some good news!