What will Shrub's convention bounce be?
Worthless Teen
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Sat Aug-21-04 01:31 PM
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What will Shrub's convention bounce be? |
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None? 2 pts? 4 pts? I can't see him winning over that many "undecided" voters.
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iwantmycountryback
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Sat Aug-21-04 01:33 PM
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1. Not anything significant |
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5 if he's extremely lucky.
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Jim Sagle
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Sat Aug-21-04 01:34 PM
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2. According to our official media, it will be a 50-point bump resulting in a |
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99% approval rating. "Spontaneous" committees will spring up all over America to advocate a monarchy with w as king.
You read it here first.
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Hippo_Tron
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Sat Aug-21-04 01:38 PM
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7. FAUX News, we decide you agree |
unblock
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Sat Aug-21-04 01:34 PM
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3. bounced out on his butt |
blondeatlast
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Sat Aug-21-04 01:34 PM
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4. If we can keep the SBVL/Bush/Cheney connection circulating |
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he might get 5 points.
If he answers Kerry's FEC challenge, -5 points or more.
If Edwards keeps questioning his manhood, -10 points.
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jjmalonejr
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Sat Aug-21-04 01:35 PM
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5. There will be dozens of different polls... |
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...leading to dozens of different conclusions.
Was there a bounce? Was there not a bounce? How big was the bounce? Was it a negative bounce?
Blah blah blah blah blah blah blah.
The RNC won't change the game much. Once it's over, the REAL battle will begin.
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phaseolus
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Sat Aug-21-04 01:37 PM
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6. There will be only one poll showing a 6 point bounce. |
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Edited on Sat Aug-21-04 01:38 PM by phaseolus
About 12 others will show absolutely no significant increase > 1-2% or so, or a decrease.
Guess which one of these polls will get significant press...
:mad:
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CaTeacher
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Sat Aug-21-04 01:47 PM
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the incumbent gets a bounce that is approximately 1/3 the bounce that the challenger gets (the challenger traditionally gets a bigger bounce because it is the first time people have gotten to know him).
Kerry's bounce was around 6 points (the average of polls released after the convention). So--based on historical precedent, Bush should get a bounce of about 2 points.
I think he probably will get a 1-2 point bounce (which will fade away over a week or two).
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PROGRESSIVE1
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Sat Aug-21-04 01:46 PM
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8. Every poll will show a tight race but the Gallup Poll will..... |
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show Bushie with a "Commanding" 3 point lead.
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justgamma
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Sat Aug-21-04 01:52 PM
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10. I predict that he'll get |
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a huge (according to the pundits) 2 pt bounce.
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Tue Jun 18th 2024, 04:05 PM
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