I just realized the reason Kerry is going to win in November

[Rainbowreflect]

has more to do with bush & less to do with Kerry.
Winning a Presidential election is all about energizing your base. Sure it helps to get more of the swing voters, but it you get your base to polls you are 90% there.
Unfortunately dems are less likely to vote than repubs, but this year bush has energized our base for us & the dems will be out in force. I really believe, no matter what the polls may say one any given day, that Kerry will win in November.

[NewYorkerfromMass]

1. as long as we get to vote and get those votes counted

we definitely are going to win.
Meanwhile, the GOP is spending a LOT of time and money trying to get their voters to the polls.

[tandot]

2. And Bush's "base" is pretty scary to a lot of moderate Republicans

A lot of moderate Republicans might get scared away by the fundamentalist neo-cons who are in charge of this Administration.

[leyton]

3. Don't misunderestimate Bush's base.

Yeah, overall, I'd say we're more energized, but the Bush machine is working at top speed. Luckily, most of the mobilization for Bush may occur in Southern states, so there's a ceiling of how much effect it can have in the electoral college. But don't underestimate Bush's base.

God, I just realized what I just wrote in the subject line. His butchering of the language is getting to me!

[napi21]

4. I've heard many times an election when you have an incumbant is

a vote for or against the incumbant rather than a vote for the opponent. People look at what their current circumstances are and decide if the incumbant should be allowed to have another term or not. That's why I believe Kerry was right to be pointing out how poorly shrub has done on EVERYTHING over the last 4 years. Kerry has to state his positions on different subjects, but not be terribly specific. His big stick is still making shrub look unqualified.