Good survey from NPR (via donkey rising); Kerry 50, Bush 45

[DemMother]

"A Aug. 22-24 survey of registered voters conducted for NPR by Greenberg, Quinlan,Rosen and Public Opinion Strategies found John Kerry Leading George W. Bush 50% to 45% in a two man race and Kerry 47%, Bush 43% and Nader 3% in a three way match-up."

http://emergingdemocraticmajorityweblog.com/donkeyrising/index.php

A lot more interesting stats at:

http://www.npr.org/news/specials/polls/aug2004/aug04.pdf

[movonne]

1. That is good news...all I am hearing doom and gloom...

[JohnKleeb]

2. annoying isnt it

yes this is good news.

[fob]

3. I got a question about those numbers. They're very similar to many

other polls which is fine but what happens to the 2% of voters when nader is added to the race?

2-man poll; Kerry 50% bush* 45% = 95%

3-man poll; Kerry 47% bush* 43% nader 3% = 93%

I will assume that nader takes 3% from Kerry, why does bush* lose 2% then?

If I assume a split I'd take 2% from Kerry, 1% from bush* and in that case they each lose a mystery 1%?

The only thing I can think of is that when nader is added bush* voters simply choose NOT TO VOTE rather than pick someone else. If this happens over the phone, how many repukes will forgo the presidential vote in the booth?

Any comments?

[NewYorkerfromMass]

4. 1 more candidate added to the mix

obviously confuses the masses and makes for more undecideds. :crazy: