It was never going to be easy. In fact, it seems to be a peculiar Democratic disease to go into the fall thinking that defeating the Republican presidential candidate -- whatever Republican presidential candidate -- amounts to a slam dunk. Thankfully, the Obama campaign, and the candidate himself, has never fallen prey to this disease.
Like Hillary's campaign, the senior leadership of the Obama campaign closely studied the 2004 campaign. But the Obama campaign began to implement the lessons it derived from 2004 from the beginning. Its goal was not to win the Democratic nomination, but to win the White House. Its analysis didn't focus on improving at the margins but on answering the question, Why has only one Democratic presidential candidate won 50% of the vote since 1968 (Jimmy Carter in 1976)? In light of their conclusions, the Obama campaign started from the outset to rectify the weaknesses they found in prior Democratic presidential campaigns.
In essence, the Obama campaign set out to radically change Democratic campaigns.
The stark reality that most Democrats are eager to deny is that Republicans start with institutional advantages. They have a 40-year headstart. While Democrats have taken enormous steps to skip generations to catch-up, we still can't say that we are there yet. Not until we've won (and, really, repeatedly won) -- not until we get 50% of the popular vote.
I want to concentrate on five areas where Republicans proved superior in 2004 and point out how the Obama campaign looks to be superior in 2008.
more . . .
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