Zogby: Bush leads 46-44

[kstewart33]

Among likely voters. From Political Wire:

The latest Zogby America Poll shows President Bush leading Sen. John Kerry, 46% to 44%.

Says pollster John Zogby: "The President has had a very good convention following a good week where he also dominated the news with his own message: leadership, strength, decisiveness. Not only has he dominated the news but he also has thrown Kerry off his game."

However, while Bush "has improved his numbers, he still has a negative re-elect, job performance, and wrong direction."

DUers: Poll was taken through Sept. 2. Good news to me.

[kikiek]

1. Very good news!

[swag]

2. www.pollingreport.com has the drill-down

http://www.pollingreport.com/wh04gen.htm

Worth a look.

[grytpype]

8. Some choice numbers from the poll!

Do you think George W. Bush deserves to be reelected as president of the United States, or is it time for someone new?"


8/30 - 9/2/04 46 deserves 48 someone new 6 undecided
8/12-14/04 43 53 4

What a disaster for Bush! The convention decreased "someone new" by only FIVE PERCENT, of which "re-elect" got 3% and undecided got 2%. He's still far short of a majority on re-elect.

[rpannier]

3. Funny...

When Kerry got a four point bump from the Dem Convention it was a disaster for him. scrubbie and croney get a 3-4 point bump and its a "Very good convention." and he was "Dominating."
Amazing how that works.

[DaveofCali]

6. heh, looks like John Zogby is biased himself

[59millionmorons]

4. I will take that

yeah

[Jack Rabbit]

5. If that's the convension bounce, we're in good shape

The campaign starts now. More Americans rightly believe the country is on the wrong path. More Americans are worse off now than they were four years ago. More Americans realize now than last April that the war in Iraq is a war fought on false pretexts.

Kerry will win.

[JI7]

7. it will still be about a week before we can an accurate bounce number

many people do it based on news coverage such as papers, magazines etc that they see and other reviews after the speech rather than the speech itself.

[Karmadillo]

9. Incumbent war "president" with only 46%? We win.

n/t

[Viking12]

10. When is the media going to question the small bounce?

Wasn't that waht the wurlitzer talking point was after the Dem convention? "The bounce wasn't as big as it was historically...Kerry didn't do well..blah, blah, blah" When will we hear that about shrub? Lioberal media my ass.

[MrBenchley]

11. 46% for a sitting president in wartime?

Jeeze, he's in BIG trouble....

[catmandu57]

12. 2pts.

Thats a hell of a bounce isn't it. One thing I agree totally with Gov. Vilsac, there is a huge population of people who aren't being counted and they are coming out to vote this year.

[lablue]

13. more important that national polls

This, from NBC's First Read this morning might indicate that Zell and the RNC may have run up the score in red meat red states, but didn't help where they needed it: "As we await word of a post-convention bump, one GOP strategist advises that scattered Republican polls through the third night showed Bush gains in the South but not in Midwest -- perhaps a result of Bush shoring up his base, with the jury still out in the heartland."

[TheSuaveOne]

14. That is not...

...the convention bounce. That bounce will be determined witin the next week...la