A Simple Explanation for The Time Poll

[Yavin4]

Maybe it is accurate, but have you all considered this: It was taken at a time when most people go on vacation. I should know. My neighbors have been on vacation all week. Republicans, or people leaning Republican, are more likely to stay home and watch the convention. I know that they balance out Democrats and Republicans, but I just don't think that many strong Kerry Democrats were even home the past week.

IOW, if you're home this past week, you get polled and screened as a likely voter, you're more than likely to be a Bush supporter, even though you are a Democrat.

[Old and In the Way]

1. Sounds reasonable to me.

I know 10% didn't decide to change their minds.

[mom cat]

2. Thanks for making me feel better. I needed that.

[mumon]

3. by golly you're right...

and those that DID remain home either a) lost their phone due to the Bush depression OR stayed home...

[Yavin4]

4. Also, People Are in Transition During This Period

College kids are on the move. They're at college instead of being home to answer a poll. This will make the poll skew older. These polls already skew against young voters.

[catbert836]

5. Too true.

I never thought of that...

[LSK]

6. another theory - they were all at the Kerry rally

[ItsMyParty]

7. I would think more the the repub crowd has the money to go away

for the weekend. Of course there is also that big bunch of blue collar guys that don't have the money to go away for the weekend but love their Bush..........who knows!!?

[Yavin4]

8. People Do Go Away On Vacation

You don't necessarily have to spend a lot of money to go away. Just pile the family into the car and hit the road. Vacations are really cheap.

[Dangerman]

9. Time is owned by TineWarner...

which is the same company that owns the now-traitorous-GOP-ass-kisser CNN!

[joefree1]

10. Exactly

[Yavin4]

11. Parsons, The CEO, Is A Republican

and a strong supporter of Pataki and Guiliani.