Rasmussen: O 51 / m 46

[stoge18]

Same as yesterday. 38th straight Obama has been at 50%+.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[Wetzelbill]

1. Here is how they weight that too.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_rasmussen_reports_partisan_weighting_targets_39_9_democrat_33_4_republican">New Rasmussen Reports

Partisan Weighting Targets: 39.9% Democrat 33.4% Republican

[stoge18]

2. Why?

Why would Rasmussen suddenly do this? Any ideas? Other than him being part of a vast RW conspiracy....

[Wetzelbill]

3. Weight it that way, you mean?

They weigh all their polls, all organizations do this, based on voter registration or maybe trends etc. I am not sure what their methodology is on this, but it's probably conservative (not politically conservative, just conservative as in somewhat cautious). Different pollsters have different methodologies for this. I think they may be a little heavy on the undecideds, but we'll see.

[stoge18]

4. Found the Ras explanation

He posts his reasoning behind this adjustment. Also posts methodology.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/new_rasmussen_reports_partisan_weighting_targets_39_9_democrat_33_4_republican

[Wetzelbill]

5. ahh good

Thanks for that.