What did the Clinton's polling show at this time in 1992?

[PlanetBev]

These polls are very demoralizing, they just don't make sense. Chimpy is looking worse and worse everyday, and they keep fixing his polls numbers higher.

I know they showed Gore behind 13 points behind Bush 10 days before election day, but I am curious about where Clinton's pollls were in September.

[gmoney]

1. I think he was down, but what do I know?

Hell, I barely remember Arsenio Hall (or Arsenio Beckman for that matter)

[Meshuga]

3. UP. He took off after the DNC.

But Gore was down and won the popular in 2000.

[liberalpragmatist]

2. Clinton Stayed Ahead After the Convention

He was well-behind before, then got a huge and sustained *bounce* that carried him into November.

A better analogy for this race is Reagan-Carter 1980 - neck and neck with a shifting lead back-and-forth over the last few months. Few expected it would be decisive. But Reagan surged ahead on the final weekend and won in a landslide.

I'm not saying this year will be a landslide - it might be, it might not be - the point is that the final outcome is often a surprise. 2 months is a LONG time in politics.

[shockingelk]

4. some from 1996

http://www.cnn.com/ALLPOLITICS/1996/polls/cnn.usa.gallup/tracking/09.21-10.02.html

[LisaL]

5. Well, in 1996

Clinton won by a landslide.
But what was going in 1992?

[shockingelk]

8. dunno. Final results

Clinton: 43.01%
Bush: 37.45%
Perot: 18.91%

The dynamic there was that Bush, GHW was unpopular, even within his own party.

I'm not sure if there's a comparable election.

[shockingelk]

7. & actual results, 1996

Clinton 49.23%
Dole 40.72%
Perot: 8.40%

[Doosh]

6. On October 9th Reagan trailed Carter by 9 points!

on OCTOBER 9TH!!!

and look how that turned out, ugh.

[shockingelk]

9. & in popular vote in 1996

Clinton got 8% less than where Gallup had him 9 days before election day.

Polls are good at showing trends, and I love watching them ... but they're not a reason to get excited or discouraged unless there's a huge gap and LV end up being accurate.

[shivaji]

10. But is there one big difference between Kerry & Reagan?

which is...Reagan came across as likeable, whereas
the media keeps repeating how unlikeable Kerry is.

A big percentage of sheeple vote not based on issues
but on whom they like.

[Doosh]

11. not at first

remember, reagan was thought of as some dangerous trigger happy warhawk. But he overcame that much like Kerry muct overcome the flip flopper thing.