Question for people from swing states

[Onlooker]

How do you think Kerry is doing in your state? Who do you think has the momentum, Kerry or Bush?

[saracat]

1. Arizona is doing much better than the polls indicate.

We drew 10,000 for Edwards on a weekday afternoon and 6ooo for THK on a weekday afternoon. It was her second largest draw of the Campaign! And then she raised Over one million dollars for us at a dinner that evening.Zoby says we are one percentage point away from Bush, and I guarantee we are going blue. Pay no mind to the story about the Campaign giving up on AZ. We still have cable and radio commercials and the other commercials "will be back!

[Ninga]

2. NE Ohio from Toledo to Youngstown

could put Kerry in the White House. 250,000 more people registered as Democrats in this years primary, a major increase over the 2000 primary.

These people are not on the pollsters radar, because phone lists of registered voters are usually 6 months to 1 year behind. Add to the primary numbers, are new registrations that have been signed up this summer up to now. In Cleveland's biggest county, over 150,000 new voters have registered.

So you can see why Ohio is a toss up......it is imposable to track the effect of the newly registered.

[Justice]

3. There is alot of activity in NH

I've heard alot in recent days about activity. Don't want to be specific b/c of freepers but I am very encouraged.

[RobertDevereaux]

4. Lots of activity in Colorado too... n/t

[neverforget]

5. Kerry is going to take Oregon. Take it the bank.

[ISUGRADIA]

6. Minnesota will go Kerry

The Repubs are growing because of subburban strength, but I think hte DFL will get the vote out in strong Dem areas.

Kerry with 52% here on 11-2.

[PermanentRevolution]

7. Florida's hard to tell...

It's such a wildly shifting demographic from place to place. I haven't seen a whole lot of activity in Miami, but I usually get pretty positive responses whenever I wear my anti-Bush gear around town. Kerry stickers seem to be ahead of Bush ones, but not by too much. I don't know about North Florida or the left coast, but Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach should be safe still.

Of course, judging from last time, we should try and win this thing without Florida, just in case.

[Sugarcoated]

9. Reporting from NE Pennsylvania here

Where this state's race is won or lost, Philadelphia and the surrounding counties. It's seeming pretty Kerry leaning to me, many more Kerry signs, many moderate Republican's that seem to be making the switch to our side. And tons and tons of young, new voters will make their mark. I'm hitting some fertile newly discoverd ground for registering this last week before Oct 2nd, I'll probably get 20-30 new young voters this week alone. My daughter and I are calling everyone she knows, has known to make sure their registered. We're working HARD here in this part of PA.

And it's gone Democrat in the last three elections.

I don't believe the polls, in this state or any other, even the so-called red states.

As the Tugger McGraw used to mantra back in the Phillies golden age "Ya gotta believe!"

Period!

[Gore1FL]

8. I am not happy with MO

I see a W04 sticker for every KIerry I see. I have seen about 5 -1 kerry - bush on yard signs, but I am in St. Louis -- outstate traditionally goes more for the GOP - especially the freakishly bizzare ones (Blunt, Ashcroft, etc)

[RazzleCat]

12. In St. Louis Region, not happy

Spent 5 hours today walking in a could go either way part of St. Louis County (FYI Kirkwood, Webster, Crestwood), not looking to good, seeing more Bush signs and stickers than Kerry. On the bright side the Kerry supporters I spoke with are very determined and were interested in volunteering. But, this is the democratic area of the state, so no looking too good.

[Borgnine]

10. VA has more Kerry momentum than you may realize.

There's a large racist/homophobe/fundie base here, but more and more blue staters have been moving to Virginia, and the tide is turning. Kerry and Bush stickers are pretty evenly matched, and the sentiment is the same.

It's going to be a close one, but I'll be fighting hard through election night.

[Carolinian]

14. LOL! TwoFace and The Joker!

[HarveyBriggs]

11. In Iowa

We have a far-right op-ed columnist in charge of political commentary, plus a very popular Republican, Charles Grassley, running for Senate. His opponent is an absolute straw dog with no funding and little presence.

So I think that is hurting us.

Our rural areas are virtually all pro-right, with a far-right radical state representative a huge voice for the rural areas.

I don't think it helps that Tom Vilsack is not running for governor again.

Worrisome fact is that a lot of reservists in Republican areas are returning and not getting their old jobs back, as required by law, and the Republicans are not enforcing the law. While we are sending a disproportionate number of reservists to Iraq, soldier-hate among Republicans in the state is very strong. That may be hurting Kerry as well.

Vilsack's first run was one where he came from behind. So there is still hope.

Right now, Bush is a bit ahead.

It will be close. Debates and GOTV will decide who wins.

Harvey Briggs

[Carolinian]

13. NC. Can't tell. Kerry is way up in my office compared to Gore. At

voter registration it's about 50-50. We are extremely proud of a certain NC Democratic Senator even in this heavily Republican county. Remember, Edwards beat out Jesse Helms' hand-picked replacement for his Senate seat - no easy task. NO ONE thought it could happen - and it did!