Kerry gains in Pa. poll as war uneasiness grows (Now Leading)

[RamboLiberal]

http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/04272/386893.stm

Rising anti-war sentiment in Pennsylvania has helped Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry regain ground in traditional Republican areas, according to a poll released today.

The survey by Connecticut-based Quinnipiac University shows Kerry with 46 percent to 44 percent for President Bush among likely voters about two weeks after a similar poll showed 48 percent for Bush and 47 percent for Kerry.

Among a larger sample of registered voters, Kerry opened up a larger lead over the Republican incumbent, 46 percent to 41 percent. In a three-way race that includes independent Ralph Nader, who is fighting in court to be listed on the state's ballot, Kerry maintained a lead over Bush, 46 percent to 42 percent, while Nader had 4 percent.

The poll also showed an erosion in support for the war in Iraq: 49 percent disapproved of the war while 43 percent approved of it. The previous poll found Pennsylvania voters evenly divided over the war.

"The result has strengthened Kerry's lead in the critical Philadelphia suburbs, while cutting into the president's domination of central Pennsylvania," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "These numbers show how volatile the race is in this key battleground state and how uncertain the outcome continues to be."

[Jack_Dawson]

1. Something good happened?

:toast:

[lancdem]

2. Good!

I was waiting for Bush's momentum in PA to wane. I love that Bush gets anywhere from 41 to 44 percent, which is less than he got in 2000. He is in troulbe here for sure. :)

[durablend]

3. OOH YEAH!

If his support here in central PA is dropping, he's definitely in trouble (since he desperately needs support in this part of the state to overcome Philly and Pittsburgh's democratic support).

[Wheaty]

4. Yard Signs in Blair Co.

If yard signs are any indicator I'd say Bush needs to worry a little about the republican T of PA.

I keep seeing more and more Kerry yard signs around Blair County (Altoona area). I never ever recall in all my years seeing a whole lot of yards signs for a Democratic candidate around here before. In the past is was just a random one in the middle of a street full of ReThug yards signs.

Now I'm seeing houses that normally have their yards full of Rethug signs with no signs at all and several Kerry Signs dotted through the streets.

There are still Bush yard signs around but nowhere near the volume they were in 2000.

I doubt Blair Co will go for Kerry with a majority, but I'm guessing Kerry will pull a higher percentage in Blair Co than Gore did in 2000.

[RamboLiberal]

8. On trip from Export to Altoona a week ago

I saw tons of Kerry/Edwards/Hoeffel signs on Rt 22 posted at road side. No Bush signs.

And I know Blair and Indiana counties have lost a number of soldiers. Plus many are serving in Iraq either in regular Army/Marines or Reserve/NG units.

[MallRat]

5. And Quinnipiac is usually pretty favorable to *.

Add about 3-4 points to Kerry's lead, and you'll get an accurate picture.

-MR

[NewYorkerfromMass]

6. Bush isn't a veteran and has misused our military

I don't consider Bush a real veteran. I am not alone I am sure.

[ItsMyParty]

7. I saw this on Bloomberg News this a.m. and Bloomberg cuts

the bullshit and pretty much tells the honest news since it's a financial site where people are watching minute by minute in order to play the stock market. I really think that in the end we will take PA, NJ, ME, IA, MN, etc. just like in 2000. The only one that has been bugging me because it seems like it was slightly in Bush column for months is Wisconsin. It definitely can be 'had' but I think it's going to take a real, real effort. We only won it by a handful of votes last time. And my big concern is that I just can't really look at any red state and think it looks real promising...and we need a least one big red state. Oh, well, hopefully the debates will start turing the tide.