hurricane coming to Mass? ... probably not ...

[welshTerrier2]

the write-up on this one says it will probably, though not definitely, weaken (see excerpt below picture)



The intensity forecast calls for modest strengthening a little above that of the SHIPS model... with a peak intensity of 50 kt in 48 kt. The new intensity forecast calls for a faster weakening after 72 hr than the previous package. If the large-scale models are correct on the formation of the second low...or if the SHIPS model is right about the shear... the cyclone could weaken even faster. There is still a chance the system could fully transition to a tropical cyclone during the next 36-48 hr.