Plain Dealer 5/30 says Bush by 6, Kerry 45% Bush 41% per Rasmussen

[papau]

http://www.cleveland.com/news/plaindealer/index.ssf?/base/cuyahoga/108590946143841.xml

Bush leads Kerry in Ohio
Sunday, May 30, 2004
Mark Naymik
Plain Dealer Politics Writer
President Bush leads John Kerry by six percentage points in the battle for Ohio, a state that could decide who wins the White House, according to a statewide Plain Dealer poll.Ohio voters surveyed say they favor Bush over Kerry, 47 percent to 41 percent. <<snip>

The poll, conducted May 20-25 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research of Washington, D.C., is based on interviews with 1,500 registered voters who plan to vote in November. The poll, which has a margin of error of 2.6 percentage points, is the largest presidential poll taken in Ohio this year.

The results run counter to the findings of earlier polls, conducted in Ohio by others, that have shown the race a dead heat or with Kerry slightly ahead. <snip>

SO WHAT IS THE ACTUAL SITUATION ??? - A KERRY LEAD ???

RASMUSSEN JUST RELEASED THE NEW OHIO TODAY.

[Kolesar]

1. Ok, it depends on how much you "trust" a Mason-Dixon poll

I don't know how reliable Mason Dixon is. Perhaps more remarkable is that the PD put this story as a page filling headline, above-the-fold on the front page of the Sunday papers. Just when I was starting to respect the PD, they show their republican stripes.:mad:

[papau]

2. republican stripes would explain - thanks for response :-) n/t:

n/t

[papau]

3. Seems 3 pm update just happened - and now its Bush 46 to Kerry 44

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Ohio_Jun%202.htm

June 2, 2004--In Ohio, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds President George W. Bush with 46% of the vote to 44% for Senator John F. Kerry. In Election 2000, Bush won Ohio by a margin of 50% to 46% over Al Gore.

In Ohio, Bush leads among Investors by 7 percentage points. Kerry leads by 4 among non-Investors.

Senator Kerry attracts 76% of the vote from Democrats. President Bush receives 85% of the GOP votes. Kerry has a modest edge among unaffiliated voters in Ohio.

Bush 46%
Kerry 44%
Other 5%
Not Sure 6%

[Kolesar]

4. 2% difference instead of 4%--surely within the margin of error eom

[FatSlob]

5. Polls at this time mean nothing.

What happens in november is what is important