download here:
http://www.dakotatechnics.com/downloads /
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Summary and Implications
In this paper, I have tried to demonstrate that:
• exit poll data are fundamentally sound,
• the deviations between exit poll predictions and vote tallies in the three critical
battleground states could not have occurred strictly by chance or random error, and that
• no explanations of the discrepancy have yet been provided.
The unexplained discrepancy leaves us with two broad categories of hypotheses: the exit poll data are wrong or misleading in ways that have not yet been adequately explained, or the count is wrong. It’s important that we review exit poll data and methodology and soon while the evidence is fresh, but such analyses require NEP’s raw data.40 Particularly useful statistical analyses would compare the “shift” in states, counties and precincts where safeguards are strong vs. those where they are suspect. Even more important, however, are investigation into the multitude of allegations and concerns about the count itself.
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Widespread assumption of misplay undermines not only the legitimacy of the President, but faith in the foundations of the democracy. That the President did not legitimately win the election is a still a very premature conclusion, but the election’s unexplained exit poll discrepancies make it an unavoidable hypothesis. In this paper, I have tried to make the case that the media, academia, polling agencies, and law enforcement agencies should investigate it with a much greater sense of urgency and responsibility than they have thus far shown.
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Thanks sarahlee and m berst from another thread here:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=1382287&mesg_id=1382287&page=