|
I agree with most of what you say here. You're right about the profitable teams being what is considered 'large market'. The Lakers are getting exposure now because of their past success. Again, if they had sucked for the past 10 years, they wouldn't be on national television very much. Just look at the Clippers. You dont' see the Bulls on national television much anymore. Number 3 market.
Why are the Jets worth more than the Rams? Why are the Texans worth more than all but 2? Yeah the stadium. And the Jets are worth more simply because they are in New York. Rich people would prefer a team in New York City to one in St. Louis.
It's not the market. The least valuable team? The Arizona Cardinals. When exactly were they last good? Large Market. 16th in fact.
As far as a league from teams outside the top 30% market size, what's that 30% based on. Most 'market's don't have any teams in this country. Still lets count it based on the markets which have baseball, football, basketball or hockey teams...Here are the markets
1-10 21,199,865 New York City 16,373,645 Lost Angeles 9,157,540 Chicago 7,608,070 Baltimore 7,039,362 Bay Area (Oakland / San Francisco) 6,188,463 Philadelphia 5,819,100 Boston 5,456,428 Detroit 5,221,801 Dallas 4,682,897 Toronto
11-20 4,669,571 Houston 4,112,198 Atlanta 3,878,380 Miami 3,554,760 Seattle 3,426,350 Montréal 3,251,876 Phoenix 2,968,806 Minneapolis/St. Paul 2,945,831 Cleveland 2,813,833 San Diego 2,603,607 St Louis
21-30 2,581,506 Denver 2,395,997 Tampa Bay 2,358,695 Pittsburgh 2,265,223 Portland 1,986,965 Vancouver 1,979,202 Cincinnati 1,796,857 Sacramento 1,776,062 Kansas City 1,689,572 Milwaukee 1,644,561 Orlando
31-40 1,607,486 Indianapolis 1,592,383 San Antonio 1,540,157 Columbus 1,499,293 Charlotte 1,337,726 New Orleans 1,333,914 Salt Lake City 1,231,311 Nashville 1,187,941 Raleigh 1,170,111 Buffalo 1,135.614 Memphis
41-45 1,100,491 Jacksonville 1,063,664 Ottawa 951,395 Calgary 937,845 Edmonton 599,671 Green Bay
To be out of the top 30% of all sports markets in the U.S. and Canada with a pro team you'd have to not be in one of the top 13 markets. Lets look at the NFL and the last 10 winners.
Five teams from the top 13 markets. Patriots 2005, Patriots 2004, Patriots 2002, Baltimore 2001, Dallas 1996
Five teams from outside the top 30% of all sports market. Tampa Bay 2003, St. Louis 2000, Denver 1999, Denver 1998, Green Bay 1997
So Name one single sports league in the US in which the national championship has been won, over 50% of the time in the past decade by teams from outside the top 30% market size. I can't. The NFL is exactly at 50%. The NBA Is at 70% for top 13 markets. MLB is 90%, with only the Diamondbacks winning outside the top 13 markets, and that was the top 14th.
It's actually kind of interesting. MLB has the worst competitive balance and the top 13 markets dominate 90% of the past 10 championships. the NBA has a slightly more competitive balance, though it's still skewed and is at 70%. The NFL is highly balanced and even with the Patriot's run is at 50% even.
Anyway. The whole thing misses my entire point, hence my subject line. I never argued that the larger market teams didn't win more. I never argued about franchise profitability.
All I'm saying is that a star doesn't necessarily have to be in a big market to be a star. You pointed out Favre. Perfect example. There are plenty in the NFL. Who is a bigger star in the NFL? Peyton Manning or Chad Pennington?
What I was saying is that you don't have to be in a big market to be a marketable star. Randy Moss was one of the biggest stars in the league and lead with jersey sales and he was in #17 Minneapolis. Why is Lebron James misplaced at #18 Cleveland? Michael Jordan may have worked his magic in #3 Chicago, but what does that say about the Mailman in #36 Salt Lake City?
The big market teams tend to win more, they tend to earn more, and in unbalanced leagues like MLB with essentially no salary cap, and low age free agency, most of the stars will graviate to the larger markets simply for money.
My point is that when people bemoan a new 'major' prospect going to a smaller market instead of one of the top 10, it's ridiculous. There are plenty of stars in EVERY sport on teams that aren't in the 'big markets'.
|