It will be interesting to see who gets the antiwar vote. So far, Feingold seems the one most likely to earn it. If that happens, I think maybe he becomes something more than a long shot.
http://www.jsonline.com/news/nat/jan06/382117.asp<edit>
The forthcoming presidential contest is an open race, without so much as a sitting vice president in the wings. Moreover, Feingold would not have to sacrifice his seat if he runs, since his current six-year term runs through January 2011. Plus he has, in Sabato's words, a "built-in anti-war constituency looking around for a candidate more liberal than Hillary Clinton."
So much for Feingold's pluses.
The minuses? To begin with, a lack of name identification, a lackluster war chest and a crowded field.
Potential rivals start with Clinton, the New York senator and former first lady, as well as others steeled from national contests, such as John Edwards, John Kerry and Al Gore, plus Mark Warner, the Virginia governor whose term ends this month. Warner, who cannot seek re-election under Virginia term limits, is both a Southerner and moderate - much like the only two Democrats elected to the presidency in recent decades.
In Sabato's view, Feingold "is not the front-runner - or anything close to it."
"He's very much a long shot," concurs Charles O. Jones, a University of Wisconsin-Madison emeritus professor of political science.
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